China
Alternative Futures
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6180614 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Walter C Clemens (Boston University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1999 |
| Volume | 32 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 1-21 |
| Publication date | 1999-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Communist and Post-Communist Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0967-067X • E-ISSN: 1873-6920 |
| Publisher | University of California Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1016/s0967-067x(98)00019-1 |
| OpenAlex | W1969715813 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 26 |
What alternatives are available to China in the next one or two decades? ‘More of the same’ is not a likely scenario, because one-party rule is not optimal for coping with the challenges of modernization and global interdependence. A second model, Singapore's authoritarian capitalism, appeals to many CCP leaders. But Singapore's scale and way of life are so different that its example cannot be very relevant to China. Nor does the Soviet imperial model fit, because China does not suffer from imperial overreach as did the USSR. The post-Soviet Russian model—a move from rigid hierarchy to free enterprise anarchy—could await China. Both countries have lacked institutions of civil society that could stabilize the country if central authority collapses. Another alterative would be a return to regionalism, spurred by economic and ethnic differences within China. Some PRC leaders hope to find a Chinese way that transcends other models, but this is not realistic. The most useful model for China and the world would be a gradual transition from authoritarianism to multi-party democracy, as has taken place in Taiwan. In one or two decades, China could edge in that direction. If so, animosities between the mainland and Taiwan would also diminish, removing a thorn from U.S.–Chinese relations. Opportunities for mutual gain may then overshadow present tensions
Asian values · Authoritarianism · Capitalism · China · Democracy · Development economics · Economic system · Economics · Economy · Mainland China · Modernization theory · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Asian Industrial and Economic Development · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law
The commanding heights
China's environmental crisis
Growing Artificial Societies
Genes, Mind, and Culture
Civil Society and Urban Change in Republican China
Order and Stability in Social Transition
Civil Society with Chinese Characteristics? Civil Society in China . Timothy Brook , B. Michael Frolic
Market Cultures
Origins of Order in Evolution
Civil Society in China
The First Chinese Democracy
Who or what killed the Soviet Union? How three Davids undermined Goliath
Non-Establishment' Intellectuals, Public Space, and the Creation of Non-Governmental Organizations in China
China's Three Gorges Dam
Taiwan's 1998 Local Elections
The Grand Chessboard
Will China Democratize? The Road from Socialism
Evolutionary Paradigms in the Social Sciences
Beijing as a Conservative Power
The Coming Conflict with America
Is China Democratizing
Global Public Policy
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0.12 |
| Citation span | 2000 - 2016 (17) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |