Congressional Career Decisions in the 2018 Congressional Midterm Elections
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6182318 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Hanna K Brant (0000-0001-9604-8241, University of Missouri Columbia, Columbia, Missouri, corresponding author), L Marvin Overby (University of Missouri Columbia, Columbia, Missouri) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 8-24 |
| Publication date | 2021-01-02 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Congress & the Presidency (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0734-3469 • E-ISSN: 1944-1053 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/07343469.2020.1811424 |
| OpenAlex | W3138467222 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 35 |
Although we prefer to think of congressional turnover as being electorally driven and based on the choices of voters, in recent decades retirements/resignations have been a larger contributor to change in the composition of both chambers of Congress than have electoral defeats of incumbents. In this article, we consider the impact of retirements (and other forms of non-electoral exits) on the 2018 congressional midterms, focusing primarily on the House of Representatives. After reviewing the relevant (and limited) literature, we provide a descriptive overview of congressional retirements (including the unusual retirement of a comparatively young speaker of the House and almost two dozen GOP committee and subcommittee chairs) then examine the extent of voluntary retirements in this electoral cycle against historical patterns, and explore the effects of different retirements (i.e., progressive ambition versus retirement from public life). Using multivariate models, we examine which factors correlate significantly with retirement decisions, test for a partisan differential in retirement rates, and compare the rates at which the parties are capable of replacing retirees with co-partisans. Our analysis allows us to consider the ongoing importance of members’ career decisions for the composition of and the partisan balance of power in the U. S. Congress. Within the context of 2018 specifically, these career decisions had substantial implications for partisan control of the House, experience and leadership within the House Republican conference, and entrance of female members into Congress and toward higher office
Balance (ability · Context (archaeology · Control (management · Demographic economics · Economics · House of Representatives · Management · Political science · Politics · Power (physics · Test (biology · Turnover · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Gender Politics and Representation · Law · Psychology · Public Administration · Social Policy and Reform Studies
Congressional careers
Women on the Run
It Takes a Candidate
A Dynamic Model of Loss, Retirement, and Tenure in the U.S. House of Representatives
Insecure Majorities
Voluntary Retirement from the U.S. House of Representatives
Congress, The Electoral Connection
Joining the Great Majority
Congress
Becoming a Candidate
Incumbency Reconsidered
What It Takes to Win
Nationalization and the Incumbency Advantage
Avarice and Ambition in Congress
It’s Nothing Personal
Why Aren't There More Republican Women in Congress? Gender, Partisanship, and Fundraising Support in the 2010 and 2012 Elections
Calling It Quits
A Bicameral Perspective on Legislative Retirement
Dynamics of Senate Retirements
It's Not You, It's Me
Early Republican Retirement
Reexamining Theories of Congressional Retirement
Strategic Retirements
Minority Status, Ideology, or Opportunity
Abandoning Ankara
Retirements, Retentions, and the Balance of Partisan Power in Contemporary Congressional Politics
The Electoral Consequences of Corruption
Is Serving in Congress Fun Again? Voluntary Retirements from the House since the 1970s
Making the Most of Statistical Analyses
Golden Parachutes, Rubber Checks, and Strategic Retirements from the 102d House
Strategy and Choice in the 1982 Congressional Elections
Voluntary Retirement, Incumbency, and the Modern House
An Analysis of Congressional Career Decisions, 1947-1986
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,33 |
| Citation span | 2023 - 2023 (1) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |