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A Dynamic Model of the Effect of Campaign Spending on Congressional Vote Choice

Bibliographic Data

ID6230752
AuthorsChristopher Kenny, Michael Mcburnett
Year1992
Volume36
Issue4
Pages923
Publication date1992-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907
PublisherJSTOR (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2111354
OpenAlexW2022024859
LanguageEN
Citations received21
References cited5

The relationship between campaign spending and congressional vote choice is clearly dynamic, yet the typical formulation of this process involves aggregate models estimated with cross-sectional data. In this paper, we estimate an explicitly dynamic model of the relationship between spending and votes in a single House district in 1984. By attaching only contributions raised at the point of survey interviews, we eliminate the measurement error present in the only other study of this sort. By defining spending as the lag of contributions, we are able to investigate which expenditure schemes seem to benefit candidates most. We find statistically significant effects for challenger spending but not for that of the incumbent. The sharpest effects occur when contributions are lagged only one day. We also find that money has the greatest effect on the preferences of those individuals who did not vote, suggesting that the people most susceptible to the candidate's message are also the ones least likely to follow through on the commitment

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Unique citing works21
Citations per year0,64
Citation span1993 - 2017 (25)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 21

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