The Pro-Incumbent Bias in the 1982 National Election Study
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6231094 |
|---|---|
| Authors | David John Gow, Robert B Eubank |
| Year | 1984 |
| Volume | 28 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 224 |
| Publication date | 1984-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907 |
| Publisher | JSTOR (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2110795 |
| OpenAlex | W2326443236 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 21 |
| References cited | 2 |
In this article we demonstrate that there is a systematic bias in the 1982 National Election Study (NES). The analysis shows that the NES survey instrument generates a context effect that prompts respondents to report they voted for the incumbent in House elections. The bias inflates the survey estimate of the vote for incumbents by about 9 percentage points. In an earlier study we found the same phenomenon in the 1978 and 1980 NESs. The nonrandom nature of the bias, and its persistence in three consecutive NESs means that researchers may attribute substantive meaning to an effect that is created by the NES survey instrument
Context (archaeology · Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Meaning (existential · National election · Panel survey · Phenomenon · Physics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Statistics · Survey data collection · Survey research · Applied Psychology · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Mathematics · Psychology · Social Psychology
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| Unique citing works | 21 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,51 |
| Citation span | 1985 - 2011 (27) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 21 |