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Voting behaviour under doubts of ballot secrecy

Reinforcing Dominant Party Rule

Bibliographic Data

ID6252901
AuthorsKai Ostwald (0000-0002-9876-955X, University of British Columbia, corresponding author), Guillem Riambau (0000-0002-4076-0616, Universitat de Barcelona)
Year2023
Volume30
Issue5
Pages855-874
Publication date2023-07-04
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueDemocratization (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1351-0347 • E-ISSN: 1743-890X
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13510347.2023.2191191
OpenAlexW4362615328
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited33

Ballot secrecy is a cornerstone of electoral democracy, since its real or perceived absence can make voters reluctant to express their true preferences. Through survey data from Singapore, we show that doubts over ballot secrecy can alter voting behaviour even when the vote is secret and there are no individually-targeted punishments or incentives; specifically, they lead a small subset of Singaporean voters to support the dominant party, despite a preference for the opposition. We also examine individual-level correlates of doubting ballot secrecy: a tendency towards belief in conspiracies and distrust of the mass media are the strongest predictors. Finally, a counterfactual exercise demonstrates the sensitivity of election outcomes to marginal vote swings; it suggests that doubting ballot secrecy can secure the dominant party a small number of additional parliamentary seats, thereby buttressing dominant party rule without requiring any concerted action or overtly repressive measures

Ballot · Bullet voting · Democracy · Disapproval voting · Economics · Incentive · Law and economics · Microeconomics · Opposition (politics · Political science · Secrecy · Secret ballot · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Internet Traffic Analysis and Secure E-voting · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology · Socioeconomic Development in Asia

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,33
Citation span2023 - 2023 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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