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Biting the Hand that Feeds

Reconsidering the Partisan Determinants of Welfare Spending in Times of Austerity

Bibliographic Data

ID6267553
AuthorsAbel Bojar (0000-0002-5117-3441, corresponding author)
Year2018
Volume53
Issue4
Pages621-652
Publication date2018-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueGovernment and Opposition (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0017-257X • E-ISSN: 1477-7053
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/gov.2017.3
OpenAlexW2604926610
LanguageEN
References cited74

The New Politics of the welfare state suggests that periods of welfare retrenchment present policymakers with a qualitatively different set of challenges and electoral incentives compared to periods of welfare expansion. An unresolved puzzle for this literature is the relative electoral success of retrenching governments in recent decades, as evidenced by various studies on fiscal consolidations. This article points to the importance of partisan biases as the main explanatory factor. I argue that partisan biases in the electorate create incentives for incumbent governments to depart from their representative function and push the burden of retrenchment on the very constituencies to which they owe their electoral mandate (‘Nixon-goes-to-China’). After offering a simple model on the logic of partisan biases, the article proceeds by testing the unexpected partisan hypotheses that the model generates. My findings from a cross-section time-series analysis in a set of 23 OECD countries provide corroborative evidence on this Nixon-goes-to-China logic of welfare retrenchment: governments systematically inflict pain on their core constituencies. These effects are especially pronounced in periods of severe budgetary pressure

Austerity · Economics · Incentive · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Public economics · Retrenchment · Welfare · Welfare state · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Public Administration · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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