Realignment in ITOs

A Closer Look

Bibliographic Data

ID6273028
AuthorsMichael F Altfeld (United States Army War College), Won K Paik (Michigan State University)
Year1986
Volume30
Issue1
Pages107
Publication date1986-03-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Studies Quarterly (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-8833 • E-ISSN: 1468-2478
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2600439
OpenAlexW2328063487
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited4

In a previous paper, Berkowitz (1983) applied expected utility theory to obtain necessary but not sufficient conditions for decisions by International Treaty Organization (ITO) members to ‘confirm’ their membership or ‘defect’. Unfortunately, in his test of the theory, Berkowitz included only nations which took positive action to confirm or defect. Non-realigners (nations choosing neither to confirm nor to defect) were not included. We show that the inclusion of such non-realigners is essential even for a test of necessary but not sufficient conditions. We then replicate Berkowitz's analysis, including a sample of decisions by ITO members not to realign. The results significantly modify Berkowitz's original findings by allowing us to distinguish the significances of the individual variables (which Berkowitz was unable to do). We find that changes in the potential realigner's utility for its current allies' issue positions is the single most important contributor to the decision to realign. We also find that power considerations appear to be insignificant as regards this decision

Action (physics · Actuarial science · Biology · Economics · Law and economics · Microeconomics · Outcome (game theory · Political science · Power (physics · Replicate · Sample (material · Statistics · Test (biology · Treaty · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Mathematics

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