Economic voting goes local

Evidence from the Italian regions

Bibliographic Data

ID6275144
AuthorsStefano Rombi (0000-0003-2652-6097, University of Cagliari, corresponding author), Marco Valbruzzi (0000-0002-8019-1024, University of Naples Federico II)
Year2024
Volume54
Issue1
Pages54-69
Publication date2024-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueItalian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0048-8402 • E-ISSN: 2057-4908
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/ipo.2023.22
OpenAlexW4387958512
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited54

This article investigates the pattern of economic voting at the regional level in Italy. It focuses on the elections held in 18 out of 20 Italian regions from 1995 to 2020. Retrospective voting is examined by using the theory of economic voting, measured at the subnational level. By providing some inferential models and controlling for the impact of phases of recession, this article tests the hypothesis whereby the incumbent regional government is rewarded (or punished) by voters in the event of a good (or poor) state of the regional economy. It mainly considers macroeconomic variables, focusing on the relationship between the unemployment rate (at both national and regional levels) and the electoral performance of the incumbent executive. The empirical analysis shows that, particularly during periods of ‘quiet politics’, economic voting also occurs at the local level and thus the regional unemployment rate affects regional rulers' electoral outcomes

Economics · Empirical evidence · Macroeconomics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Ranked voting system · Recession · Unemployment · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Political Systems and Governance · Populism, Right-Wing Movements