Pular para o conteúdo principal

ETHNOS_APP

Início • Busca • Periódicos • Lista 0

Voting between two global crises. A Nuts3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries

Dados Bibliográficos

ID6276178
AutoresMarco Giuliani (0000-0002-6927-7177, University of Milan, autor correspondente)
Ano2023
Volume53
Fascículo1
Páginas68-84
Data de publicação2023-03-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoItalian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0048-8402 • E-ISSN: 2057-4908
EditoraCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/ipo.2022.9
OpenAlexW4220869692
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas1
Referências citadas83

Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain went several times to the polls during the 2010–2019 decade. It was a period characterised by the strenuous effort to recover the economic situation before the onset of the Great Recession; an effort, however, often constrained by externally imposed austerity policies, and by a refugee crisis that contributed to the growing salience of the immigration issue. The article adopts an original sub-national approach to examine if and how the economic situation and the incidence of immigration affected the electoral outcomes in the four South-European countries. Adopting a theory of retrospective behaviour, the research reported in the article confirms the association between employment and immigration levels, on the one hand, and punishment of the incumbent government on the other. However, the electoral effects of immigration are conditioned by the partisan composition of the government and, under centre-right cabinets, are aggravated by a negative economic conjuncture

Austerity · Demographic economics · Development economics · Economics · Government (linguistics · Immigration · Macroeconomics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Recession · Salience (neuroscience · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Populism, Right-Wing Movements · Psychology · Social Policy and Reform Studies

  • Economic voting goes local

    Open Access•Stefano Rombi, Marco Valbruzzi•Italian Political Science…•2024

  • The Responsible Electorate

    V O Key, Arthur Maass et al.•Responsible Electorate•1966

  • The Economic Vote

    Open Access•Raymond M Duch, Raymond Duch et al.•Economic Vote•2008

  • Political Change in Britain

    Open Access•David Butler, Donald Stokes et al.•Political Change in Britain•1974

  • The Impact of the Economic Crisis on South European Democracies

    Open Access•Leonardo Morlino, Francesco Raniolo•The Impact of the Economic Crisis…•2017

  • Immigration and Voting for the Far Right

    Martin Halla, Alexander F Wagner et al.•Journal of the European Economic…•2017

  • Immigration and electoral support for the far-left and the far-right

    Open Access•Anthony Edo, Yvonne Giesing et al.•European Economic Review•2019

  • Dealignment, De-legitimation and the Implosion of the Two-Party System in Greece

    Eftichia Teperoglou, Emmanouil Tsatsanis•Journal of Elections Public…•2014

  • Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior

    Open Access•Guglielmo Barone, Alessio D’Ignazio et al.•Journal of Public Economics•2016

  • Political Institutions and Democracy in Portugal

    Open Access•António Costa Pinto, Conceição Pequito Teixeira•Political Institutions and…•2019

  • The Italian General Election of 2018

    Open Access•Ilvo Diamanti, Luigi Ceccarini et al.•The Italian General Election of…•2019

  • Democracy for Realists

    Christopher H Achen, Larry M Bartels•Democracy for Realists•2016

  • The Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior

    Russell J Dalton, Hans‐dieter Klingemann et al.•The Oxford Handbook of Political…•2007

  • Populist electoral competition in Italy

    Daniele Albertazzi, Mattia Zulianello•Contemporary Italian Politics•2021

  • Looking retrospectively at the 2018 Italian general election

    Marco Giuliani•Contemporary Italian Politics•2021

  • The Electoral Payoff of Immigration Flows for Anti-Immigration Parties

    Open Access•Gabriele Abbondanza, Francesco Bailo•European Political Science•2017

  • Thirty years of welfare chauvinism research

    Open Access•Romana Careja, Eloisa Harris•Journal of European Social Policy•2022

  • Has immigration affected Spanish presidential elections results

    Open Access•Ildefonso Méndez, Isabel M Cutillas•Journal of Population Economics•2013

  • Geographical proximity to refugee reception centres and voting

    Open Access•Massimiliano Bratti, Claudio Deiana et al.•Journal of Urban Economics•2020

  • The influence of local and national economic conditions on French legislative elections

    Open Access•Antoine Auberger, Eric Dubois•Public Choice•2005

  • Economic voting in Portuguese municipal elections

    Open Access•Rodrigo Martins, Francisco José Veiga•Public Choice•2013

  • Inequality and party support

    Ruth Dassonneville, Michael S Lewis-Beck•Regional Studies•2019

  • Massive Migration and Elections

    Open Access•Christos Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis Vasilakis•International Migration•2017

  • Macroeconomics, economic crisis and electoral outcomes

    Open Access•Ruth Dassonneville, Michael S Lewis-Beck•Acta Politica•2014

  • The electoral consequences of austerity

    Liisa Talving•West European Politics•2017

  • Electoral Epidemic

    Anna Maria Bosco, Anna Bosco et al.•South European Society & Politics•2012

  • From Electoral Epidemic to Government Epidemic

    Anna Maria Bosco, Anna Bosco et al.•South European Society & Politics•2016

  • Economic Policy Voting and Incumbency

    Open Access•Ruth Dassonneville, Michael S Lewis-Beck•Political Science Research and…•2013

  • Party system volatility, regeneration and de-institutionalization in Western Europe (1945–2015)

    Open Access•Alessandro Chiaramonte, Vincenzo Emanuele•Party Politics•2017

  • Politicizing immigration in Western Europe

    Open Access•Edgar Grande, Tobias Schwarzbözl et al.•Journal of European Public Policy•2019

  • A changing economic vote in Western Europe? Long-term vs. short-term forces

    Open Access•Ruth Dassonneville, Michael S Lewis-Beck•European Political Science Review•2019

  • The electoral consequences of the financial and economic crisis in Europe

    Open Access•Enrique Hernández, Hanspeter Kriesi•European Journal of Political…•2016

  • The Dynamics of European Party Systems

    Open Access•Mogens N Pedersen•European Journal of Political…•1979

  • Economic crisis and the variety of populist response

    Marco Lisi, Iván Llamazares•West European Politics•2019

  • The Emergence of a New Party in the Italian Party System

    Nicolò Conti, Vincenzo Memoli•West European Politics•2015

  • Rules, institutions and the economic vote

    Ruth Dassonneville, Michael S Lewis-Beck•West European Politics•2017

  • The Spanish electoral cycle of 2019

    Toni Rodon•West European Politics•2020

  • Explaining the emergence of the radical right in Spain and Portugal

    Mariana S Mendes, J Dennison•West European Politics•2021

  • Two-bloc Logic, Polarisation and Coalition Government

    Pablo Simón Cosano, Pablo Simón•South European Society & Politics•2020

  • The Breakdown of the Spanish Two-Party System

    Lluís Orriols, Gonzalo C Garcia et al.•South European Society & Politics•2016

  • Party System Renewal or Business as Usual? Continuity and Change in Post-Bailout Portugal

    Marco Lisi, Edalina Rodrigues Sanches et al.•South European Society & Politics•2020

  • Two-partyism Reloaded

    Emmanouil Tsatsanis, Eftichia Teperoglou et al.•South European Society & Politics•2020

  • The Multiple Spanish Elections of April and May 2019

    Pablo Simón Cosano, Pablo Simón•South European Society & Politics•2020

  • Syriza’s Electoral Rise in Greece

    Iván Llamazares, Myrto Tsakatika•South European Society & Politics•2016

  • Populist Success in a Hung Parliament

    Alessandro Chiaramonte, Vincenzo Emanuele et al.•South European Society & Politics•2018

  • The Exceptional Case of Post-Bailout Portugal

    Elisabetta De Giorgi, José Santana-Pereira•South European Society & Politics•2020

  • Local Context, Retrospective Economic Evaluations, and Voting

    Open Access•Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie et al.•Political Behavior•2000

  • Do mainstream parties adapt to the welfare chauvinism of populist parties

    Open Access•G Schumacher, Kees Van Kersbergen•Party Politics•2016

  • The economic vote at the party level

    Open Access•Marco Giuliani, Sergio Alberto Massari•Party Politics•2019

  • Old versus new politics

    Open Access•Swen Hutter, Hanspeter Kriesi et al.•Party Politics•2018

  • Economy or austerity? Drivers of retrospective voting before and during the Great Recession

    Open Access•Marco Giuliani•International Political Science…•2022

  • The politicization of immigration in Italy. Who frames the issue, when and how

    Open Access•Ornella Urso•Italian Political Science…•2018

  • Breaking the cartel

    Open Access•Pedro Riera, Luigi Russo et al.•Italian Political Science…•2016

  • Are we losing touch?’ Mainstream parties' failure to represent their voters on immigration and its electoral consequences

    Open Access•D Brady, David W Brady et al.•Italian Political Science…•2020

  • The 2018 Italian general election

    Open Access•Luca Pinto•Italian Political Science…•2020

  • Politicization of the refugee crisis

    Open Access•Stella Gianfreda•Italian Political Science…•2018

  • Retrospective voting in the Italian 2013 election

    Open Access•Marco Giuliani•Italian Political Science…•2018

  • A new divide? Assessing the transnational-nationalist dimension among political parties and the public across the EU

    Open Access•Daniel Jackson, Stephen Jolly•European Union Politics•2021

  • Exploring the neglected dimension of the economic vote

    Open Access•Stephen Quinlan, Martin Okolikj•European Political Science Review•2020

  • Positions and saliency of immigration in party manifestos

    Open Access•Pola Lehmann, Malisa Zobel•European Journal of Political…•2018

  • Asymmetric federalism and economic voting

    Open Access•Sandra León, Lluís Orriols•European Journal of Political…•2016

  • The Evolution of the Immigration Debate

    Open Access•Rafaela Dancygier, Yotam Margalit•Comparative Political Studies•2020

  • Local Economies, Local Policy Impacts and Federal Electoral Behaviour in Canada

    Open Access•Fred Cutler•Canadian Journal of Political…•2002

  • A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting

    G Bingham Powell, Guy D Whitten•American Journal of Political…•1993

  • Do Voters Benchmark Economic Performance

    Open Access•Vincent Arel-Bundock, André Blais et al.•British Journal of Political…•2021

  • Electoral Linkages in Federal Systems

    Open Access•Lori Thorlakson•Swiss Political Science Review•2016

  • A communotropic theory of economic voting

    Open Access•Jonathan Rogers•Electoral Studies•2014

  • Increased economic salience or blurring of responsibility? Economic voting during the Great Recession

    Open Access•Marina Costa Lobo, Roberto Pannico•Electoral Studies•2020

  • Levels or changes

    Open Access•Eric Kaufmann•Electoral Studies•2017

  • Economic voting theory

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Richard Nadeau•Electoral Studies•2011

  • Two types of economic voting

    Open Access•Simon Weschle•Electoral Studies•2014

  • Accountability for the Local Economy at All Levels of Government in United States Elections

    Open Access•Justin De Benedictis-Kessner, Carole Warshaw•American Political Science Review•2020

  • Politicising immigration in times of crisis

    Open Access•Swen Hutter, Hanspeter Kriesi•New Community•2022

  • Spatial Models of Party Competition

    Open Access•Donald E Stokes, Donald Stokes•American Political Science Review•1963

  • Benchmarking across Borders

    Open Access•Mark Andreas Kayser, Mark Andreas Lindst Auml Dt Kayser et al.•American Political Science Review•2012

  • Explaining Differences in Welfare Chauvinism Between and Within Individuals Over Time

    Open Access•M Kros, M Coenders•European Sociological Review•2019

Obras citantes distintas1
Citações por ano0,5
Intervalo de citações2024 - 2024 (1)
Velocidade de citaçãorecent
Altamente citadoNão
Tipos de citaçãoNeutras: 1
Ethnos_APP • Projeto Open Source • Licença MIT • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacidade e Cookies • Documentação da API: api.ethnos.app/docs • Código da API: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Código do Frontend: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae