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Exchange Rate Regimes and Exchange Market Pressure in the New EU Member States

Bibliographic Data

ID6282382
AuthorsAndré Van Poeck (University of Antwerp), Jacques Vanneste (0000-0002-0319-589X, University of Antwerp), Maret Veiner (University of Antwerp)
Year2007
Volume45
Issue2
Pages459-485
Publication date2007-06-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJCMS Journal of Common Market Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0021-9886 • E-ISSN: 1468-5965
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1468-5965.2007.00718.x
OpenAlexW1968991481
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited13

Economic theory has stressed the vulnerability to currency crises of intermediate exchange regimes. ERM II constitutes a fixed but adjustable pegged exchange rate arrangement and can therefore be categorized as an intermediate regime, in contrast to polar regimes such as currency boards and freely floating exchange rates. Our regression results for eight new EU Member States reveal the role of economic fundamentals in explaining exchange market pressure in these countries and confirm the bipolar view on exchange rate regimes. We conclude that the new EU members should not enter ERM II before their fundamentals are strong enough to compensate for the vulnerability of the exchange rate regime. Otherwise the condition for entering EMU, i.e. preceding participation in ERM II without devaluation or serious tensions on the exchange market, could be jeopardized

Common currency · Currency · Currency board · Devaluation · Economics · European union · Exchange rate · Exchange-rate regime · Floating exchange rate · Foreign exchange risk · Interest rate parity · International economics · Member states · Monetary economics · Optimum currency area · Vulnerability (computing · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Citations per year0.27
Citation span2011 - 2020 (10)
Highly citedNo

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