Do Outbreaks of War Follow a Poisson-Process
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6283466 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Henk Houweling, H W Houweling, Jan B Kuné (University of Amsterdam) |
| Year | 1984 |
| Volume | 28 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 51-61 |
| Publication date | 1984-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002784028001003 |
| OpenAlex | W2080498018 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 7 |
| References cited | 9 |
Richardson's finding that the distribution of war outbreaks in time conforms to the Poisson distribution has been repeated over and over again. In this article, we argue that the close correspondence between the two distributions does not imply that the mechanism generating the data is the Poisson process. Because the time sequence is broken down in Richardson's analysis, his finding does not imply that war outbreaks follow a distinct pattern in time. The Parzen test on arrival times revealed that war outbreaks are not generated by a Poisson random process
Biology · Distribution (mathematics · Econometrics · Mathematical analysis · Outbreak · Poisson distribution · Poisson process · Sequence (biology · Statistics · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Mathematics · Statistical Mechanics and Entropy
| Unique citing works | 7 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,17 |
| Citation span | 1985 - 2026 (42) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 7 |