Drought, Local Institutional Contexts, and Support for Violence in Kenya

Dados Bibliográficos

ID6283873
AutoresAndrew M Linke (0000-0002-2031-4686, Department of Geography, The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, autor correspondente), Frank D W Witmer (0000-0002-2646-0705, University of Alaska Anchorage), John Ο’loughlin (University of Colorado Boulder), John O’loughlin (University of Colorado Boulder), J T Mccabe (0000-0002-0394-6681, University of Colorado Boulder), Jaroslav Tir (0000-0001-9492-5837, University of Colorado Boulder)
Ano2018
Volume62
Fascículo7
Páginas1544-1578
Data de publicação2018-08-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002717698018
OpenAlexW2606549367
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas41
Referências citadas64

We address two questions on the effects of climate change for social instability. First, do droughts and their associated environmental impacts affect support for the use of violence? Second, do local-level formal and informal institutions moderate support for violence when and where droughts worsen? To answer these questions, we conducted a national survey of 1,400 Kenyans in 2014. Respondents were asked about patterns of rainfall and the presence of rules regulating natural resource use and access. Survey data are joined to spatially disaggregated observed rainfall trends. The survey uses endorsement experiments to elicit honest responses about support for using violence. There is some evidence of a direct, though limited, link between observed drought and violent attitudes. Certain local-level natural resource use rules have moderating effects on support for violence where drought is reported and precipitation is less frequent. This conditional and contextual effect is an important modification of overly simplistic narratives of universal climate change effects

Affect (linguistics · Climate change · Economics · Geography · Natural resource · Political science · Resource (disambiguation · Socioeconomics · Survey data collection · Agricultural risk and resilience · Ecology · Psychology · Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology · Transboundary Water Resource Management