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On the Incidence of Civil War in Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID6284072
AuthorsPaul Collier (0009-0005-5671-6707, World Bank), Anke Hoeffler (0000-0002-0684-6096, Centre for the Study of African Economies)
Year2002
Volume46
Issue1
Pages13-28
Publication date2002-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002702046001002
OpenAlexW2167940296
LanguageEN
Citations received229
References cited11

An econometric model of civil war is applied to the analysis of conflict in sub-Saharan Africa. Results show that Africa has had a similar incidence of civil conflict to other developing regions, and, with minor exceptions, its conflicts are consistent with the global pattern of behavior. However, the structure of risk differs considerably from other regions. Africa's economic characteristics have made it more vulnerable to conflict, but this has been offset by social characteristics that make its societies atypically safe. The contrasting trends of conflict are analyzed: rising in Africa and declining in other regions. Results show that these trends are predicted by the model. Africa's rising trend of conflict is due to its atypically poor economic performance

Civil Conflict · Development economics · Economics · Geography · Incidence (geometry · Political science · Spanish Civil War · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Law · Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models · Political Conflict and Governance

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Unique citing works229
Citations per year9,16
Citation span2001 - 2026 (26)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 224

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