Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Social Mobilization, Political Institutionalization, and Conflict in Black Africa

A Simple Dynamic Model

Bibliographic Data

ID6284232
AuthorsRaymond Duvall (Department of Political Science Yale University), Mary B Welfling (Virginia Tech), Mary Welfling (Department of Political Science Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University)
Year1973
Volume17
Issue4
Pages673-702
Publication date1973-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/002200277301700405
OpenAlexW1536526188
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited21

A simple model involving five concepts-social mobilization, party system institutionalization, turmoil, internal war, and elite conflict-is specified and its structural parameters are estimated for 28 black African nations. The model is fully reciprocal, involving each concept as a function of each of the others, and the concepts are measured for two time periods, 1960-1964 and 1965-1969. Two-stage least-squares regression is utilized to generate parameter estimates. The resulting model structure is evaluated according to (1) its correspondence with extant scholarly theorizing, (2) its ability to account for variance in the concepts, (3) the systematic character of the residual, or error, terms, and (4) its predictions for the future. The major conclusions are that: forms of conflict interrelate in complex ways and are not simply different aspects of a single phenomenon; conflict affects the mobilization of society and the development of political institutions; social mobilization has little, if any, effect on conflict; and, the institutionalization of party systems as linkages between publics and governments has a real impact on the mobilization of society and on the level of conflict in society

Demobilization · Economics · Elite · Epistemology · Extant taxon · Institutionalisation · Mass mobilization · Mobilization · Phenomenon · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Sociology · Variance (accounting · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare · Qualitative Comparative Analysis Research

  • Civil-Military Relations in Developing Countries

    Open Access•Veena Kukreja•India Quarterly A Journal of…•1989

  • Has Social Mobilization Caused Political Instability in Africa? A Granger-Causality Test

    Open Access•Bedford N Umez•The Review of Black Political…•1993

  • Crises and Crises Outcomes

    Open Access•Ekkart Zimmermann•European Journal of Political…•1979

  • Ethnic Diversity and Political Instability in Black Africa

    Open Access•Walter L Barrows•Comparative Political Studies•1976

  • Understanding Political Instability

    Open Access•Lee Sigelman•Comparative Political Studies•1979

  • Mobilization, Institutionalization, Development, and Instability

    Open Access•Syng Nam Yough, Lee Sigelman•Comparative Political Studies•1976

  • The Impact of Political System Structure on Probability Patterns of Internal Disorder

    Daniel S Geller•American Journal of Political…•1987

  • Violence and the paradox of democratic renewal

    Victor T Le Vine•Terrorism and Political Violence•2000

  • Models, Measurement and Sources of Error

    Open Access•Mary B Welfling•American Political Science Review•1975

  • Explaining African Military Coups d'Etat, 1960-1982

    Open Access•Thomas H Johnson, Robert O Slater et al.•American Political Science Review•1983

  • Political Order in Changing Societies

    Samuel P Huntington•Political Order in Changing…•1969

  • The Passing of Traditional Society

    Daniel Lerner•The Passing of Traditional Society•1958

  • National Political Development

    P Cutright•Comparative Government•1969

  • Rapid Growth as a Destabilizing Force

    Open Access•Mancur Olson•The Journal of Economic History•1963

  • Political Africa

    C E Carrington•International Affairs•1962

  • Political Integration and Political Development

    Open Access•Michael Weiner, Myron Weiner•The Annals of the American…•1965

  • The Passing of Traditional Society

    Open Access•Essa Salem, Elie A Salem•Political Science Quarterly•1959

  • Multivariate Analysis of National Political Development

    Marvin E Olsen•American Sociological Review•1968

  • The Ethiopian No-Party State

    Open Access•Robert L He, Robert L Hess et al.•American Political Science Review•1964

  • A Causal Model of Civil Strife

    Open Access•Ted Gurr, Ted Robert Gurr•American Political Science Review•1968

  • National Political Development

    Phillips Cutright•American Sociological Review•1963

  • Political Development and Political Decay

    Open Access•Samuel P Huntington•World Politics•1965

  • Political Participation, Institutionalization and Stability in India

    Open Access•Paul R Bra, Paul R Brass•Government and Opposition•1969

  • Determinants of Political Institutionalization in Black Africa

    Open Access•Raymond Duvall, Mary B Welfling et al.•Comparative Political Studies•1973

  • Civil Conflict in The 1960s

    Open Access•Ted Robert Gurr, Raymond Duvall•Comparative Political Studies•1973

  • Internal War as a Stimulant of Political Development

    Open Access•Frank J Popper, Frank Popper•Comparative Political Studies•1971

  • Social Mobilization and Political Development

    Open Access•Karl W Deutsch•American Political Science Review•1961

  • Integration and Instability

    Open Access•Donald G Morrison, Hugh Michael Stevenson•American Political Science Review•1972

Unique citing works10
Citations per year0,2
Citation span1975 - 2000 (26)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 10

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae