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Weak Models, Nil Hypotheses, And Decorative Statistics

Is There Really No Hope

Bibliographic Data

ID6284292
AuthorsBarry O''Neill, Barry O’neill (Yale University, corresponding author), Barry O'Neill (Yale University)
Year1995
Volume39
Issue4
Pages731-748
Publication date1995-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002795039004007
OpenAlexW2032149687
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited34

Donald Green and Ian Shapiro contend that rational choice models have made negligible contributions to the empirical study of politics. Published tests systematically violate some basic research principles, they say, and they ascribe the problem to modelers' universalist aim of explaining all human behavior. This review critiques some of the authors' principles, which seem to derive from an extreme form of Popperianism combined with norms around null hypothesis testing. Their attribution of universalism is exaggerated; what they are seeing is actually a desire to unify different selected areas, a basic goal in theoretical explanation. One advantage of rational choice models is that they frequently make precise predictions. Models that can do this offer an escape from the uninformative ritual of null hypotheses tests

Alternative hypothesis · Attribution · Econometrics · Economics · Epistemology · Null hypothesis · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Rational choice theory (criminology · Statistical hypothesis testing · Statistics · Universalism · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Mathematics · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Psychology · Qualitative Comparative Analysis Research · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,03
Citation span1996 - 1996 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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