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Preventive War and the Balance of Power

A Game-Theoretic Approach

Bibliographic Data

ID6285232
AuthorsEmerson M S Niou (Department of Political Science, State University of New York at Stony Brook), Peter C Ordeshook (Department of Government, University of Texas at Austin, Division of Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology)
Year1987
Volume31
Issue3
Pages387-419
Publication date1987-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002787031003001
OpenAlexW2135214263
LanguageEN
Citations received14
References cited6

Preventive wars are commonly defined as wars initiated by a major power to preempt an anticipated disadvantageous position in terms of resources or military capabilities owing to the differential growth rates of countries. This essay extends a game-theoretic model of the balance of power to admit differential growth rates and also to permit countries to adjust their investments for the future. After establishing the conditions for equilibrium investment strategies, we then examine the properties of the nation-system that this equilibrium implies. Specifically, using a two-period model, we are interested in those first-period equilibria in which, because their sovereignty is subsequently threatened, countries will prefer to instigate a preventive war. We conclude by arguing that, although differential growth rates and the period 1 equilibria that initial resources imply can threaten the sovereignty of countries, there are a variety of coalitional strategies available to countries and that only some of them imply preventive war

Balance (ability · Circulation (fluid dynamics · Development economics · Differential (mechanical device · Economic system · Economics · Investment (military · Political science · Position (finance · Power (physics · Sovereignty · Variety (cybernetics · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Finance · Law · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East

  • A Theory of the Balance of Power

    Open Access•Emerson M S Niou, Peter C Ordeshook•Simulation & Games•1988

  • Power and Cooperation

    Open Access•Thomas Schwartz•Review of European Studies•2017

  • Power Transition and Conflict Initiation

    Open Access•Daniel S Geller•Conflict Management and Peace…•1992

  • Rational choice models and international relations research

    Frank C Zagare•International Interactions•1990

  • National Preferences, International Structures and Balance-of-Power Politics

    Open Access•Zeev Maoz•Journal of Theoretical Politics•1995

  • Hawk Engagement and Preventive Defense on the Korean Peninsula

    Victor D Cha, David G Victor•International Security•2002

  • Domestic Structure and Preventive War

    Open Access•Randall L Schweller•World Politics•1992

  • Declining Power and the Preventive Motivation for War

    Open Access•Jack S Levy•World Politics•1987

  • Realpolitik and the Bases of Multistate System Endurance

    Thomas R Cusack, Uwe Zimmer et al.•The Journal of Politics•1989

  • International Relations Theory and the Second Korean War

    Open Access•David C Kang•International Studies Quarterly•2003

  • Shifting Power, Commitment Problems, and Preventive War

    Open Access•Sam R Bell, Jesse C Johnson•International Studies Quarterly•2015

  • Neorealism and the myth of bipolar stability

    Dale C Copeland•Security Studies•1996

  • Guns, Butter, and Anarchy

    Open Access•Robert Powell•American Political Science Review•1993

  • Stability in Anarchic International Systems

    Open Access•Emerson M S Niou, Peter C Ordeshook•American Political Science Review•1990

  • The theory of political coalitions.

    William H Riker•The theory of political coalitions.•1962

  • Game Theory and Political Theory

    Open Access•Peter C Ordeshook•Game Theory and Political Theory•1986

  • Windows of Opportunity

    Richard Ned Lebow•International Security•1984

  • Towards Professionalism in International Theory

    P A Reynolds•International Affairs•1979

  • The Origins of the World War

    Linda Robinson, L G Robinson et al.•Economica•1930

Unique citing works14
Citations per year0,36
Citation span1987 - 2017 (31)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 14

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