Sequencing the Peace

How the Order of Peace Agreement Implementation Can Reduce the Destabilizing Effects of Post-accord Elections

Datos Bibliográficos

ID6285571
AutoresMadhav Joshi (0000-0003-2635-9540, Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA, autor de correspondencia), Erik Melander (0000-0001-5835-0618, Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA), Jason Michael Quinn (Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA), Jason Quinn (0000-0002-1561-1176, University of Notre Dame)
Año2017
Volumen61
Número1
Páginas4-28
Fecha de publicación2017-01-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditorialSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002715576573
OpenAlexW2329374877
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas30
Referencias citadas56

Once a set of civil war actors reach a final peace agreement, a number of different implementation sequences are possible as the negotiated provisions are put into practice. We focus on a key but threatening stepping stone in the post-accord period—the holding of the first post-accord election—which has the capacity to be a stabilizing or destabilizing force. We identify effective accommodation provisions that civil war actors can negotiate and implement before the first post-accord election to reduce the chances of renewed violence. Utilizing new longitudinal data on the implementation of comprehensive peace agreements between 1989 and 2012 and a series of survival models, we find that if the first post-accord election is preceded by the implementation of accommodation measures, elections can have a peace-promoting effect. However, in the absence of preelection accommodation measures, elections are much more likely to be followed by peace failure

Accommodation · Computer security · Focus (optics · Key (lock · Negotiation · Political economy · Political science · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · Computer Science · Law · Peacebuilding and International Security · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Psychology · Public Administration