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Alliance Formation and General Deterrence

A Game-Theoretic Model and the Case of Israel

Bibliographic Data

ID6285743
AuthorsGerald L Sorokin (University of Iowa, corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume38
Issue2
Pages298-325
Publication date1994-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002794038002006
OpenAlexW2031883788
LanguageEN
Citations received27
References cited18

This article studies the relationship between alliance formation and general deterrence in regional rivalries. In a game-theoretic model under complete information, an alliance is formed only when the potential ally would not intervene without one and would always intervene with one. General deterrence succeeds under complete information unless the potential attacker is stronger than the target and values the stakes highly, and the potential ally would never intervene. When incomplete information is added to the game, alliances are sometimes formed even when the potential ally's behavior would be unaffected by the alliance. Additionally, general deterrence under incomplete information sometimes fails because of the potential attacker's mistaken beliefs about the probability that the target would win or the potential ally would intervene. The model is illustrated by examining the conflict between Israel and its rivals, Egypt and Syria, taking into account the role of the United States as Israel's potential ally. The combination of game theory and empirical analysis is theoretically richer and empirically more informative than previous analyses of Israeli general deterrence and alliance behavior

Alliance · Complete information · Deterrence (psychology · Deterrence theory · Economics · Game theory · International conflict · Law and economics · Microeconomics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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Unique citing works27
Citations per year0,84
Citation span1994 - 2026 (33)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 27

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