Power Transitions and Critical Points as Predictors of Great Power War
Toward a Synthesis
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6286041 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Henk Houweling (University of Amsterdam), Henk W Houweling (University of Amsterdam), Jan G Siccama (Netherlands Institute of International Relations Clingendael) |
| Year | 1991 |
| Volume | 35 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 642-658 |
| Publication date | 1991-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002791035004004 |
| OpenAlex | W2057858059 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 17 |
| References cited | 10 |
Recently two putative causes of great power war - power transitions (as identified by Houweling and Siccama 1988) and critical points (as identified by Doran 1989) - have confronted each other. In subsequent publications Doran changed the dating of several of his critical points. The authors will demonstrate that these changes have the effect of increasing the positive association between nations passing through a critical point interval on their relative capability trajectory and their involvement in war. Doran correctly observes that power transitions in dyads do not increase the probability of fighting in these dyads when none of their members is simultaneously passing through a critical point interval. However, the authors show that the association between a major power passing through a critical point interval and its war involvement is much stronger in transition dyads than in nontransition dyads. A power transition in a dyad, in which at least one of its members is also passing through a critical point is a sufficient condition of war in that dyad. On the other hand, the mere occurrence of a critical point is but a necessary condition of war involvement
Association (psychology · Combinatorics · Critical point (mathematics · Dyad · Interval (graph theory · Physics · Point (geometry · Power (physics · Transition (genetics · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
War and Peace in International Rivalry
The Black Box behind Power Shifts and War — A Rational Choice Perspective
Power Cycle Theory and State Involvement in Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816-1976
In Search of Structure
Critical Periods and Regime Type
Testing Dynamic Theories of Conflict
The onset and initiation of disputes
Extending the Bounds of Power Transition Theory
The neo‐functionalist explanation of world wars
War Initiation in a Changing World
Great powers, cycles of relative capability and crises in world politics
Change in Material Capabilities and the Onset of War
Economics, Philosophy of History, and the “Single Dynamic” of Power Cycle Theory
Cyclical, Hegemonic, and Pluralistic Theories of International Relations
Power Shifts and Problem Shifts
Testing Power-Transition Theory Using Alternative Measures of National Capabilities
Power Parity, Preponderance, and War between Great Powers, 1816-1989
Theory and methods of social research.
Systemic Disequilibrium, Foreign Policy Role, and the Power Cycle
Overwhelming Preponderance as a Pacifying Condition Among Contiguous Asian Dyads, 1950–1969
Power Transitions as a Cause of War
Models of Statistical Relationship
Intensity, Visibility, Direction and Scope
Quantitative Sociology
| Unique citing works | 17 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,52 |
| Citation span | 1993 - 2016 (24) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 17 |