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Peru’s 2011 Elections

A Surprising Left Turn

Bibliographic Data

ID6287364
AuthorsSteven Levitsky (corresponding author)
Year2011
Volume22
Issue4
Pages84-94
Publication date2011-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of democracy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1045-5736 • E-ISSN: 1086-3214
PublisherProject MUSE (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1353/jod.2011.0064
OpenAlexW1978371295
LanguageEN
Citations received15
References cited6

The election of left-leaning ex-military officer Ollanta Humala in Peru’s 2011 election surprised observers. Peru’s economy had boomed under market-oriented governments in the 2000s. Three factors explain Peru’s left turn. First, in the politically fragmented and volatile environment created by party collapse, three establishment candidates split the moderate vote, allowing Humala and another extra-establishment candidate, Keiko Fujimori, to make the runoff. Second, economic boom notwithstanding, public dissatisfaction and distrust in political institutions remained high, largely due to state weakness. Finally, Humala’s moderate turn helped him win over key middle class voters, while Fujimori failed to distance herself from her father’s authoritarian government. Whereas conservatives fear a Venezuela-like scenario and progressives hope for a Brazil-like scenario, the most likely scenario is a moderate but mediocre government. Humala may attempt to replicate Lula, but with no real party, a weak state, and little experience, he is unlikely to match his success

Amateur · Authoritarianism · Boom · Democracy · Distrust · Economics · General election · Government (linguistics · Left-wing politics · New Left · Officer · Political economy · Political science · Politics · State (computer science · Law · Political and Social Dynamics in Chile and Latin America · Politics and Society in Latin America · Populism, Right-Wing Movements

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Unique citing works15
Citations per year1,07
Citation span2012 - 2023 (12)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 15

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