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How a Dictator Became Vulnerable

Bibliographic Data

ID6287416
AuthorsLucan A Way (0000-0001-9702-9034, University of Toronto, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume31
Issue4
Pages17-27
Publication date2020-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of democracy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1045-5736 • E-ISSN: 1086-3214
PublisherProject MUSE (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1353/jod.2020.0052
OpenAlexW3089121238
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited2

In August 2020, Belarus-a country known for its persistent autocracy and popular quiescence-exploded in mass prodemocracy protests.Following a fraudulent presidential election on August 9, hundreds of thousands took to the streets.The demonstrations posed an unprecedented threat to Alyaksandr Lukashenka, who has ruled Belarus for more than a quarter-century.At the same time, protest leaders have explicitly distinguished their new movement from the "color revolutions" that have taken place in other postcommunist countries.Rather than calling for major changes in geopolitical orientation, as in Ukraine's 2013-14 EuroMaidan, they have focused their demands on free and democratic elections together with a return to the constitutional status quo that existed before Lukashenka.While seeking to overturn a personalist dictatorship, opposition leaders have sought to portray themselves as essentially antirevolutionary.This democratic uprising was the product of both growing popular discontent and Lukashenka's own miscalculations.Lukashenka himself came out of nowhere to win the 1994 presidential election thanks in part to the fact that he was underestimated by the establishment as a country bumpkin.In 2020, he in turn gave a critical opening to his main challenger, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, because he did not take women seriously.Indeed, the first serious challenge to Lukashenka's rule in two decades was directly enabled by misogyny.The emergence of a powerful prodemocratic movement came as a shock.Belarus, which became independent in 1991, has long been considered a pro-Soviet bastion.Its neighbors on three sides are countries-Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Ukraine-that hosted powerful anticommunist movements when the Soviet bloc began crumbling in the

Development economics · Dictator · Economics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Historical and Contemporary Political Dynamics · Law · Psychology

  • Belarus’s Sound Body

    Open Access•Justin Eckstein•Philosophies•2024

  • “We are 97%”

    Open Access•Larissa Doroshenko, Shanika L Wilson•New Media & Society•2026

  • Authoritarian Cooptation of Civil Society

    Anastasiya Astapova, Vasil Navumau et al.•Europe Asia Studies•2022

  • Why the 2020 Belarusian Protests Failed to Oust Lukashenka

    Open Access•Lucan A Way, Amelie Tolvin•Nationalities Papers•2023

  • Making Sense of a Surprise

    Open Access•Petra Stykow•Nationalities Papers•2023

  • Introduction

    Open Access•Nelly Bekus, Mischa Gabowitsch•Slavic Review•2021

  • The Great Divide

    Open Access•Keith Darden, Keith A Darden et al.•World Politics•2006

  • Deer in Headlights

    Open Access•Lucan A Way•Slavic Review•2012

Unique citing works6
Citations per year1.2
Citation span2021 - 2026 (6)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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