China at the Tipping Point
Foreseeing the Unforeseeable
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6287547 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Andrew J Nathan (0009-0008-0700-9573, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2013 |
| Volume | 24 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 20-25 |
| Publication date | 2013-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of democracy (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1045-5736 • E-ISSN: 1086-3214 |
| Publisher | Project MUSE (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1353/jod.2013.0012 |
| OpenAlex | W2792251177 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 15 |
| References cited | 5 |
The resilience of the Chinese authoritarian regime is approaching its limits. Theories of “threshold models” and “informational cascades” derived from the East German experience may help explain what happens next. China, however, is different from East Germany in several ways. Among other differences, it is not a client state and its economy is growing faster than those of its neighbors. Citizens are better informed about what other people think; the Chinese police are more skilled in the arts of repression, and the regime is more adaptive than other authoritarian regimes. A breakthrough moment could be triggered by several kinds of events. A key variable in the cascade model of political change is fear, and that seems to be diminishing
Authoritarianism · China · Democracy · Economic system · Economics · German · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Psychological resilience · Resilience (materials science · Sociology · State (computer science · China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance · Computer Science · History · Law · Psychology · Social Policy and Reform Studies · Social Psychology
Playing by the Informal Rules
Street Politics in a Hybrid Regime
Inequality and Democratization
Lectures critiques
Systems Thinking, System Justification, and the Death Penalty
The Unknown Terrain of Social Protests in China
The Lexicon of Fear
The Puzzle of the Chinese Middle Class
Performing Authoritarian Citizenship
Authoritarian learning
Anticipating global and diffuse risks to prevent conflict and governance breakdown
Democracy promotion and China
The Longest March
Chinese Intellectual Discourse on Democracy
Researching disasters and disaster management in China
| Unique citing works | 15 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,15 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2021 (9) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 15 |