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Immigration and welfare state sustainability

Whose Perception Is Affected by Fiscal Cost Cues

Bibliographic Data

ID6290476
AuthorsH Finseraas (0000-0001-5102-4895, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, corresponding author), Atle Haugsgjerd (0000-0002-7647-5817, Institute for Social Research, Oslo, Norway), Staffan Kumlin (0009-0001-1974-4064, University of Oslo)
Year2024
Volume31
Issue5
Pages1420-1437
Publication date2024-05-03
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of European Public Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1350-1763 • E-ISSN: 1466-4429
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13501763.2023.2166572
OpenAlexW4319077148
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited36

Who reacts politically to fiscally costly immigration? A political economy tradition holds that reactions depend on economic self-interest, whereas a social psychology tradition emphasizes generalized political orientations and trust. Past work largely leans in favor of the latter tradition. We make three contributions. First, our dependent variable is a concrete perception of welfare state sustainability, arguably better suited to capture self-interest. Second, both the political economy- and social psychology traditions have been studied narrowly; we separate between multiple interests (including economic local context), and compare several types of trust orientations. Third, we use machine learning methods well-suited to analyze treatment heterogeneity in a randomized survey experiment. We find support for both interest-based and social psychological explanations. As for the latter, what matters is not only, or even mainly, orientations/trust related to immigration. Rather, generalized political distrust strongly regulates when costly immigration cues trigger welfare sustainability worries

Economics · Fiscal policy · Fiscal sustainability · Immigration · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Perception · Political science · Politics · Public economics · State (computer science · Sustainability · Welfare · Welfare state · Computer Science · Law · Migration and Labor Dynamics · Migration, Refugees, and Integration · Psychology · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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Unique citing works5
Citations per year2,5
Citation span2024 - 2026 (3)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5

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