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Indirect rule and mass threat

Two paths to direct rule

Bibliographic Data

ID6297970
AuthorsBenjamin Broman (0000-0002-5500-3263, Duke University, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume35
Issue3
Pages232-256
Publication date2023-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Theoretical Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0951-6298 • E-ISSN: 1460-3667
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/09516298231183640
OpenAlexW4381890249
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited45

What is the impact of popular discontent on the transition from indirect to direct rule? The current literature suggests contrasting theories, variously arguing that rulers are more likely to govern directly when facing either a particularly high or particularly low probability of mass resistance. I reconcile these views by arguing that the decision to rule indirectly is subject to competing dilemmas. In a formal model, I show that these twin tensions influence the choice to centralize power in opposing manners. Accordingly, there are two distinct political logics driving direct rule: one resulting from a high likelihood of revolt and the other from a low likelihood, with contrasting comparative statics. The model therefore reconciles contrasting views in the literature. I illustrate the model's logic with reference to key cases and provide heuristics for predicting comparative statics in new empirical settings

Comparative statics · Decision rule · Economics · Heuristics · Mathematical economics · Microeconomics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Rule-based system · Computer Science · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Artificial Intelligence

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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