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Class voting or economic voting? Electoral support for chavismo (1998–2015)

Bibliographic Data

ID6299309
AuthorsRobert Bonifácio (0000-0003-3071-2378, Universidade Federal de Goiás), João Carlos Amoroso Botelho (0000-0003-0661-2975, Universidade Federal de Goiás, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume44
Issue3
Pages334-353
Publication date2023-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0192-5121 • E-ISSN: 1460-373X
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0192512121992671
OpenAlexW3194414558
LanguageEN
References cited23

This article analyses electoral support for chavismo in Venezuela from 1998 to 2015, comprising five presidential elections (1998, 2000, 2006, 2012, and 2013) and the legislative election of 2015. Drawing on a comprehensive historical series, the findings contradict an influential body of literature on Venezuelan politics and show that economic voting prevailed during the analysed period. In relation to class voting, the analysis does not find a monotonic vote, in which the poor supported Hugo Chávez and his allies, whereas the rich rejected them, at each election. The direction of associations between these classes and voting for chavismo varied over the investigated period. The findings have important implications for Latin American politics, showing the relevance of economic factors for the left turn in regional politics and helping explain the recent losses of leftist parties in presidential elections

Democracy · Disapproval voting · Economics · Electoral politics · First-past-the-post voting · Instant-runoff voting · Left-wing politics · Legislature · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Relevance (law · Voting · Latin American socio-political dynamics · Law · Political Theory and Democracy · Politics and Society in Latin America

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