The Timing of Strategic Decisions
Candidacy Decisions in 1982 and 1984
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6301259 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Clyde Wilcox (corresponding author) |
| Year | 1987 |
| Volume | 12 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 565 |
| Publication date | 1987-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Legislative Studies Quarterly (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0362-9805 • E-ISSN: 1939-9162 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.2307/439749 |
| OpenAlex | W2316833903 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 11 |
| References cited | 2 |
Although the model of congressional elections proposed by Jacobson and Kernell has been the subject of some controversy, to date there has been no attempt to investigate one of their central claims: that potential candidates decide whether to run in the spring of the election year. This paper uses previously unanalyzed data from the Federal Election Commission to test this claim. The results suggest that most serious candidates do indeed decide by the spring, but that in 1982 and 1984 over half of serious nonincumbent candidates made their candidacy decisions before March of the election year. This suggests that models of congressional elections may have to incorporate even earlier measures of economic conditions and presidential popularity
Actuarial science · Candidacy · Commission · Economics · Federal election · Law and economics · Political science · Politics · Popularity · Presidential election · Presidential system · Test (biology · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Law · Public Administration
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| Unique citing works | 11 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,3 |
| Citation span | 1989 - 2023 (35) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 11 |