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Biased Budgeting in the Public Sector

Evidence from Italian Local Governments

Bibliographic Data

ID6302553
AuthorsEugenio Anessi-Pessina (0000-0002-4660-5457, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore), Mariafrancesca Sicilia (0000-0001-9186-5496, University of Bergamo)
Year2015
Volume41
Issue6
Pages819-840
Publication date2015-11-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueLocal Government Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0300-3930 • E-ISSN: 1743-9388
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/03003930.2015.1012194
OpenAlexW2063937068
LanguageEN
Citations received13
References cited41

The purpose of this paper is to analyse, in terms of presence, determinants and purposes, the misrepresentation of expected revenues during budget formulation and the misrepresentation of actual revenues during budget execution. To this end, we use six-year panel data from Italian municipalities with populations above 15,000. Our results suggest that overestimations of current revenues are more frequent than underestimations, during both budget formulation and budget execution. In terms of determinants, our results highlight the impact on revenue misrepresentation of both political orientation and fiscal stress. Finally, in terms of purposes, we show that revenue underestimation during budget formulation and revenue overestimation during budget execution may contribute to the formation of surpluses. The former, in particular, may allow mayors to create a ‘war chest’ in non-election years, which can then be used to increase net borrowing on the eve of elections

Business · Economics · Misrepresentation · Monetary economics · Political science · Politics · Public economics · Revenue · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Local Government Finance and Decentralization · Finance

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Unique citing works13
Citations per year1,3
Citation span2016 - 2025 (10)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 13

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