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The Election in Wales

Campaign and Party Performance

Bibliographic Data

ID6311156
AuthorsJonathan Bradbury (0000-0001-8966-1734, Swansea University, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume73
IssueSupplement_1
Pages157-171
Publication date2020-09-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueParliamentary Affairs (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0031-2290 • E-ISSN: 1460-2482
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/pa/gsaa025
OpenAlexW2792265601, W4241536875
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited1

Theresa May’s decision to call a general election was apparently taken while on a North Wales walking holiday at Easter 2017. The problems of having a small parliamentary majority were mounting and the polls looked strong enough to conclude that winning a larger majority was likely if an election was held. Looking across Wales she would have known that there were prospects for gains even in this Labour stronghold. Labour still held 25 of Wales’ 40 seats, but the 2010 and 2015 elections had given them vote shares of 36.2% and 36.9% respectively, their two worst results in Wales since 1918. Meanwhile the Conservative vote share had risen to 27.2% by 2015, and, after taking four seats from Labour in 2010 and a further two in 2015, they held 11 seats (Bradbury, 2015). Given Jeremy Corbyn’s apparent unpopularity with many traditional Labour voters it seemed a particularly propitious time for the Conservatives to go for further gains

Demographic economics · Economics · General election · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Historical Studies of British Isles · Irish and British Studies · Law · Political Systems and Governance · Scottish History and National Identity

  • Targeting the cereal woman

    Open Access•Emilia Belknap, Emilia Y Belknap•Parliamentary Affairs•2025

  • For Wales, Do Not See England? An Analysis of the 2017 General Election

    Open Access•Laura Mcallister, L L Mcallister et al.•Parliamentary Affairs•2019

Citations per year0.43
Citation span2019 - 2025 (7)
Highly citedNo

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