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Home affordability, female marriage rates and vote choice in the 2000 US presidential election

Evidence from US counties

Bibliographic Data

ID6316478
AuthorsGeorge Hawley (0000-0003-0489-9730, University of Houston, corresponding author)
Year2012
Volume18
Issue5
Pages771-789
Publication date2012-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueParty Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1354-0688 • E-ISSN: 1460-3683
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/1354068810389641
OpenAlexW2010313884
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited24

This article tests the hypothesis that differences in the housing market can partially explain why some American counties are strongly Republican and others strongly Democratic, and that this phenomenon can be largely attributed to the relationship between home values and marriage rates within counties. Specifically, I test the hypothesis that, in the 2000 election, George W. Bush did comparatively better in counties with relatively affordable single-family homes, even when controlling for other economic, demographic and regional variables. Using county-level data, I test this hypothesis using spatial-lag regression models, and provide further evidence using individual-level survey data. My results indicate a statistically significant relationship between Bush’s percentage of the vote at the county level and the median value of owner-occupied homes, and that at least part of this is explained by the relationship between home values and marriage rates among young women

Democracy · Demographic economics · Economics · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Sociology · Statistics · Survey data collection · Test (biology · Value (mathematics · Voting · Demography · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Housing Market and Economics · Law · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,13
Citation span2018 - 2018 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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