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The Differential Effects of Economic Conditions and Racial Attitudes in the Election of Donald Trump

Bibliographic Data

ID6320781
AuthorsJon Green (0000-0002-6542-6745, The Ohio State University), Sean Mcelwee (The Ohio State University)
Year2019
Volume17
Issue02
Pages358-379
Publication date2019-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePerspectives on Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1537-5927 • E-ISSN: 1541-0986
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1537592718003365
OpenAlexW2898737590
LanguageEN
Citations received35
References cited27

Debates over the extent to which racial attitudes and economic distress explain voting behavior in the 2016 election have tended to be limited in scope, focusing on the extent to which each factor explains white voters’ two-party vote choice. This limited scope obscures important ways in which these factors could have been related to voting behavior among other racial sub-groups of the electorate, as well as participation in the two-party contest in the first place. Using the vote-validated 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Survey, merged with economic data at the ZIP code and county levels, we find that racial attitudes strongly explain two-party vote choice among white voters—in line with a growing body of literature. However, we also find that local economic distress was strongly associated with non-voting among people of color, complicating direct comparisons between racial and economic explanations of the 2016 election and cautioning against generalizations regarding causal emphasis

CONTEST · Demographic economics · Economics · Political economy · Political science · Scope (computer science · Voting · Voting behavior · White (mutation · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Populism, Right-Wing Movements · Social and Cultural Dynamics

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Unique citing works35
Citations per year5
Citation span2019 - 2025 (7)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 35

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