Heuristics and Political Elites’ Judgment and Decision-Making
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6348485 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Barbara Vis (0000-0003-2323-3862, Utrecht University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2019 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 41-52 |
| Publication date | 2019-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Political Studies Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1478-9299 • E-ISSN: 1478-9302 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/1478929917750311 |
| OpenAlex | W2740053659 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 30 |
| References cited | 61 |
It is broadly assumed that political elites (e.g. party leaders) regularly rely on heuristics in their judgments or decision-making. In this article, I aim to bring together and discuss the scattered literature on this topic. To address the current conceptual unclarity, I discuss two traditions on heuristics: (1) the heuristics and biases (H&B) tradition pioneered by Kahneman and Tversky and (2) the fast and frugal heuristics (F&F) tradition pioneered by Gigerenzer et al. I propose to concentrate on two well-defined heuristics from the H&B tradition— availability and representativeness—to empirically assess when political elites rely on heuristics and thereby understand better their judgments and decisions. My review of existing studies supports the notion that political elites use the availability heuristic and possibly the representativeness one for making complex decisions under uncertainty. It also reveals that besides this, we still know relatively little about when political elites use which heuristic and with what effect(s). Therefore, I end by proposing an agenda for future research
Economics · Epistemology · Heuristic · Heuristics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Representativeness heuristic · Social heuristics · Sociology · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · Law · Philosophy · Psychology · Social Psychology
Assault on Democracy
Reforming to Survive
Fact or fear? Elite and public opinion on the misuse of foreign aid
Promises and Pitfalls of Algorithm Use by State Authorities
Leader Similarity and International Sanctions
The Limits of Institutions and the Reliance on Heuristics during the Covid-19 Pandemic
Levelling up policies and the failure to learn
Lobbying, fast and slow
Regulating Uncertainty
The silver bullet reversed
Heuristics and policy responsiveness
The search for the elusive recipe for gender equality
Digital heuristics
Opportunity for renewal or disruptive force? How artificial intelligence alters democratic politics
Public opinion on U.S. investment in foreign countries
Designing to Debias
Uncertainty, risk and the use of algorithms in policy decisions
Explaining the Selection Dilemma in Human Rights Ingos
European migration governance in the context of uncertainty
Forecasting under Uncertainty
Feelings of Trust, Distrust and Risky Decision-Making in Political Office. An Experimental Study With National Politicians in Three Democracies
Introducing a Conceptual Map of Political Elites’ Responses to Different Types of Uncertain Phenomena
How the political elite make decisions
Do Governments Always Take Unpopular Decisions Knowingly? How Perceptual Inaccuracy Affects Policy Decisions
Politicians, the Representativeness Heuristic and Decision-Making Biases
The Influence of Episodic Information on Political Elites
Issue prioritisation decisions by local politicians
Behavioural governance in the policy process
The Use of the Endorsement Heuristic in Swiss Popular Votes
Problematizing partner selection
Congressmen's Voting Decisions
The Politics of Parliamentary Debate
Making Waves
Subjective probability
Invariants of Human Behavior
Reconsidering the Rational Public
Individual differences in reasoning
Representativeness Revisited
Models of ecological rationality
Judgment under Uncertainty
Essence of Decision
Governing for the Long Term
Policy Agendas in British Politics
The Dimensions of Cue-Taking in the House of Representatives
German Parliamentary Party Groups in Europeanised Policymaking
Measuring the European Council agenda
The Company You Keep
A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice
Toward a New Theory of Institutional Change
Setting the Agenda or Responding to Voters? Political Parties, Voters and Issue Attention
Political Beliefs, Policy Interpretations, and Political Persuasion
Models of Legislative Voting
"The Science of "Muddling Through
You’ve Got Some Explaining To Do The Influence of Economic Conditions and Spatial Competition on Party Strategy
Coalition Governments and Party Competition
What Voters Do
The Limitations of Heuristics for Political Elites
Evolutionary Political Psychology
Do Politicians Take Risks Like the Rest of Us? An Experimental Test of Prospect Theory Under MPs
Living in the Past or Living in the Future? Analyzing Parties’ Platform Change In Between Elections,The Netherlands 1997–2014
The Unmet Potential of Interdisciplinary Research
Text as Data
Causal Inference in Conjoint Analysis
A Bayesian Hierarchical Topic Model for Political Texts
The Cognitive Revolution and the Political Psychology of Elite Decision Making
Competing on the issues
Electoral Andpartisancycles Ineconomicpolicies Andoutcomes
Direct Democracy
Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive Heuristics in Political Decision Making
Uninformed Votes
A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting
Perceptions of Partisan Ideologies
Expert and Exceptional Performance
Availability
Heuristics made easy
A cross-national analysis of economic voting
Cross-national analyses of economic voting
Party Policy Diffusion
Shortcuts Versus Encyclopedias
Can Employment Reduce Lawlessness and Rebellion? A Field Experiment with High-Risk Men in a Fragile State
World Society and the Nation-State
| Unique citing works | 30 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 5 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2026 (7) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 30 |