Terrorist attacks and public approval of the Russian president

Evidence From Time Series Analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID6358360
AuthorsIgor Fedotenkov (0000-0003-3344-4401, DG Joint Research Center, European Commission, Brussels, Belgium, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume36
Issue2
Pages159-170
Publication date2020-03-03
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePost-Soviet Affairs (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1060-586X • E-ISSN: 1938-2855
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/1060586x.2019.1707566
OpenAlexW3000094252
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited24

This article applies time series analysis to examine weekly data on Vladimir Putin’s approval rating and their dependence on terrorist attacks. I find that minor terrorist attacks with few or no fatalities in Chechnya, Ingushetia, and Dagestan increase Putin’s ratings, while major terrorist attacks, with more than four fatalities, have a negative impact. There is also evidence that terrorist attacks in other Russian regions reduce Putin’s public approval; however, this evidence is weaker and depends on the model specification. Furthermore, I control for main annual media events with President Putin’s participation: the television Q&A program “Direct Line with V. Putin,” Putin’s address to the Federal Assembly, and a large annual press conference. All three media events increase the president’s approval, with Direct Line having the least effect

Criminology · Media coverage · Media studies · Political science · Sociology · Terrorism · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · Law · Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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