Public Opinion and Nuclear Use
Evidence from Factorial Experiments
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6389387 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Tyler Bowen (United States Air Force Academy), Michael A Goldfien (0000-0002-9911-0562, Yale University), Matthew H Graham (0000-0003-4808-2984, Temple College) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 85 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 345-350 |
| Publication date | 2023-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Journal of Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3816 • E-ISSN: 1468-2508 |
| Publisher | University of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1086/720329 |
| OpenAlex | W4223968538 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 16 |
| References cited | 15 |
Does the public oppose nuclear use? Survey experimental research varying either the advantages or the disadvantages of nuclear use has produced a wide range of results. Yet no study has examined how the military advantages and strategic and moral disadvantages of nuclear weapons interact. We explore this interaction and uncover a pattern that unifies the literature's seemingly disparate results: the persuasive power of nuclear weapons' military advantages is conditional on their disadvantages. We demonstrate this by independently randomizing both the advantages and disadvantages of nuclear use in (1) a 2×2 factorial version of an influential design and (2) a novel adaptation of conjoint experiments that focuses on the most plausible comparisons between nuclear and conventional strikes. Our results support a new explanation for why the public can appear rigidly opposed to nuclear strikes in some circumstances and highly permissive in others
Econometrics · Factorial · Factorial experiment · Political science · Politics · Public opinion · Statistics · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Law · Mathematics · Risk Perception and Management
Testing the Firebreak
American Public Opinion on US Responses to Russia's Nuclear Threats in Ukraine
Hope the Russians Love Their Children Too”
Elite-public gaps in support for nuclear and chemical strikes
The “Commitment Trap” Revisited
External Threat and Nuclear Preferences
Punishment and blame
The lesser evil? Experimental evidence on the strength of nuclear and chemical weapon “taboos”
Artificial Intelligence and U.S. Military Cadets’ Attitudes About Future War
Trading Arms, Trading Values? Experimental Evidence on Attitudes Toward Arms Exports Among Citizens and Political Elites
From Moscow With a Mushroom Cloud? Russian Public Attitudes to the Use of Nuclear Weapons in a Conflict With Nato
Atomic Arguments and Counter-Arguments
Elite–Public Gaps on Nuclear Weapons
Nuclear Shibboleths
Chaplains and the legitimacy of drone warfare
Public support for arms control in the third nuclear age
The tradition of non-use of nuclear weapons
Still Taboo? Citizens’ Attitudes toward the Use of Nuclear Weapons
Stigmatizing the Bomb
Revisiting Hiroshima in Iran
The Stopping Power of Norms
An Analysis of Reduced Collateral Damage Nuclear Weapons
Racing the Clock
Greater Goods
The Nuclear Taboo
Atomic Aversion
Democracy in America? Partisanship, Polarization, and the Robustness of Support for Democracy in the United States
| Unique citing works | 16 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 4 |
| Citation span | 2022 - 2026 (5) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 16 |