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A Theory of Electoral Competition in Developing Democracies

Bibliographic Data

ID6396145
AuthorsZuheir Desai (0000-0001-5958-0351, The Ohio State University, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume88
Issue1
Pages000-000
Publication date2025-09-30
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3816 • E-ISSN: 1468-2508
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1086/735459
OpenAlexW4407733674
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited34

Elections in developing democracies often involve the politicization of social cleavages, whereas the economic dimension seems politically insignificant. How does economic development affect this state of affairs? I show that development-led economic mobility structures voting behavior around policy but can aggravate campaigning on the social cleavage. A preponderance of poor voters leads the Right to adopt a platform that is nearly identical to that of the Left and to campaign more on the social dimension. Development increases policy polarization, thereby increasing the significance of the economic dimension. However, its effect on campaigning on the social dimension depends on the nature of the social cleavage. Development promotes divisive campaigning in a primordial majority–minority cleavage and has a moderating effect only under relatively optimistic assumptions. The results provide a structural explanation for the apparent unimportance of the economic dimension in developing democracies and outline conditions under which development exacerbates the politicization of social divisions.

Competition (biology · Economic system · Economics · Political economy · Political science · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Social Policy and Reform Studies · Taxation and Compliance Studies

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year1,33
Citation span2023 - 2025 (3)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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