Spatial Models of Candidate Competition and the 1988 French Presidential Election
Are Presidential Candidates Vote-Maximizers
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6396273 |
|---|---|
| Authors | James Adams (0000-0003-0415-4632, University of California, Santa Barbara), Samuel Merrill (0000-0002-9572-5922, Wilkes University) |
| Year | 2000 |
| Volume | 62 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 729-756 |
| Publication date | 2000-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Journal of Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3816 • E-ISSN: 1468-2508 |
| Publisher | University of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1111/0022-3816.00031 |
| OpenAlex | W1980054894 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 30 |
| References cited | 27 |
Existing applications of spatial modeling to historical elections suggest that parties rarely maximize votes. This complicates the analyst's task because explanations of party behavior must incorporate, in addition to vote-seeking motivations, such factors as the parties' calculations concerning postelection coalition negotiations. We argue that candidates in national presidential elections have greater incentives to single-mindedly seek votes than do political parties, and we refine this argument by developing two additional hypotheses: competitive candidates are more likely to be vote-maximizers than are noncompetitive candidates, and candidates are most likely to be vote-maximizing on issues highly salient to voters. Based on data from Pierce's (1996) French Presidential Election Survey, 1988, we fit a conditional logit model that incorporates voters' party identifications and sociodemographic characteristics and use its parameters to determine the vote-maximizing locations for the major candidates. Our empirical results suggest that a spatial model that incorporates voters' nonpolicy-related motivations accounts well for the candidates' behavior, especially for the more competitive candidates
Argument (complex analysis · Competition (biology · Econometrics · Economics · Incentive · Logit · Microeconomics · Negotiation · Political science · Politics · Presidential system · Public economics · Salient · Voting · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
Linking Citizens and Parties
Red Media, Blue Media
Does France's Two-Ballot Presidential Election System Alter Candidates’ Policy Strategies? A Spatial Analysis of Office-Seeking Candidates in the 1988 Presidential Election1
Social democratic party positions on the EU
Vote Choices and Valence
Evidence on the importance of spatial voting models in presidential nominations and elections
Is there a relationship between party system polarization and voters’ proximity to the parties in the left–right dimension
When Extremism Pays
Electoral Competition, the EU Issue and Far-right Success in Western Europe
The Multidimensional Disadvantages of Centrist Parties in Western Europe
The Neglected Role and Variability of Party Intercepts in the Spatial Valence Approach
Are moderate parties rewarded in multiparty systems? A pooled analysis of Western European elections, 1984–1998
Valence and electoral outcomes in Western Europe, 1976–1998
Are Niche Parties Fundamentally Different from Mainstream Parties? The Causes and the Electoral Consequences of Western European Parties' Policy Shifts, 1976–1998
Assessing the validity of the Manifesto Common Space Scores
Voter Turnout and Candidate Strategies in American Elections
Sophistry versus Science
Simulation Analysis of the Effect of Party Identification on Finnish Parties' Optimal Positions
Computing Nash Equilibria in Probabilistic, Multiparty Spatial Models with Nonpolicy Components
Testing theories of party competition
Mean voter representation and partisan constituency representation
Centrifugal Incentives in Multi-Candidate Elections
Research Note
Candidates’ policy platforms and election outcomes
Policy Positions, Issue Importance, and Party Competition in New Democracies
Multiparty Competition in Israel, 1988–96
Party-System Extremism in Majoritarian and Proportional Electoral Systems
Finnish parties' positions in 2007
A valence model of political competition in Britain
Multinomial probit and multinomial logit
A Unified Theory of Voting
Party Competition and Responsible Party Government
An economic theory of democracy
Symposium. The Directional Theory of Issue Voting
The Loyalties of Voters
Multiparty electoral competition in the Netherlands and Germany
Political Leadership and Representation in West European Democracies
On Attempting to Rehabilitate the Proximity Model
Anchoring the French Voter
Partisanship and the party system
No Evidence on Directional vs. Proximity Voting
Constitutional Design and Citizen Electoral Control
Party policy equilibrium for alternative spatial voting models
Political Parties and Political Representation
Economics, Issues and the Perot Candidacy
Modeling Party Strategies and Policy Representation in Multiparty Elections
Centripetal and Centrifugal Incentives in Electoral Systems
A New Approach to Voter Uncertainty in the Downsian Spatial Model
Expert Interpretations of Party Space and Party Locations in 42 Societies
Candidate Equilibrium and the Behavioral Model of the Vote
Measuring the relative impact of issues and the economy in democratic elections
A comparative spatial analysis of majoritarian and proportional elections
A Directional Theory of Issue Voting
| Unique citing works | 30 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,2 |
| Citation span | 2001 - 2024 (24) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 30 |