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To Hedge or Not to Hedge

Bibliographic Data

ID6415959
AuthorsMehtap Kara (0000-0002-3154-8402, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume66
Issue1
Pages1-36
Publication date2025-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAsian Survey (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0004-4687 • E-ISSN: 1533-838X
PublisherUniversity of California Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1525/as.2025.2681731
OpenAlexW4413090984
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited36

During President Yoon Suk-yeol’s leadership, South Korea reaffirmed alignment with the United States, supported the US-led Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy, and embraced “strategic clarity” by abandoning the “strategic ambiguity” and hedging approach of the Moon Jae-in administration. President Yoon’s impeachment following his declaration of martial law, uncertainties surrounding a second Trump presidency, and the deepening cooperation among China, Russia, and North Korea have prompted South Korean policymakers to reevaluate the country’s strategic posture amid intensifying great power competition. This article argues that rising uncertainty in international politics, combined with a new liberal administration, will lead South Korea to revive strategic ambiguity as means of pursuing greater autonomy and more balanced policies between the US, China, and Russia. It examines Seoul’s dilemma in transitioning from hedging to balancing, its repositioning under the Lee Jae-myung administration, and the implications of a return to strategic hedging for balance-of-power dynamics in the Indo-Pacific

Administration (probate law · Ambiguity · China · Dilemma · Economics · Hedge · Impeachment · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Power (physics · Presidency · Security Dilemma · Global trade and economics · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Public Administration

  • Reexamining Shifting ROC Positions on the Sovereignty of the Ryukyus (1943–1972)

    Open Access•Ryota Hiyane, Long Piao•Pacific Focus•2026

  • Strategic complementarity and hedging

    So Yeon Ahn, Kangsuk Kim•The Pacific Review•2026

  • Getting hedging right

    Open Access•Cheng‐chwee Kuik•China International Strategy Review•2021

  • Change or Continuity? Seoul's Approach to Southeast Asia under the New Southern Policy

    Yoon Ah Oh•Korea Observer - Institute of…•2023

  • Covid-19 and the Political Framing of China, Nationalism, and Borders in the U.S. and South Korean News Media

    Open Access•Angie Y Chung, Hyerim Jo et al.•Sociological Perspectives•2021

  • South Korea

    Open Access•Ramon Pacheco Pardo, Saeme Kim•International Politics•2023

  • Hedging Strategies of the Middle Powers in East Asian Security

    Open Access•Ji yun Lee•East Asia•2016

  • Beyond Balancing and Bandwagoning

    Ann Marie Murphy•Asian Security•2010

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    Open Access•Min-Hyung Kim•International Relations of the…•2021

  • Shrinking room for hedging

    Open Access•Alexander Korolev•International Relations of the…•2019

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    Open Access•John D Ciorciari•International Relations of the…•2019

  • Power, trust, and network complexity

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  • Under What Conditions Would South Korea Go Nuclear? Seoul's Strategic Choice on Nuclear Weapons

    Open Access•Min-Hyung Kim•Pacific Focus•2023

  • How Do Weaker States Hedge? Unpacking Asean states’ alignment behavior towards China

    Cheng‐chwee Kuik•Journal of Contemporary China•2016

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    Sung Chul Jung, Jaehyon Lee et al.•Journal of Contemporary China•2020

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    Thomas S Wilkins, Thomas Wilkins et al.•The Pacific Review•2020

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    Kuik Cheng-Chwee•Contemporary Southeast Asia•2008

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  • South Korea in 2023

    Kwangho Jung•Asian Survey•2024

  • Covid-19, Anti-Chinese Sentiment, and Foreign Policy Attitudes in South Korea

    Esther E Song•Asian Survey•2023

  • The Impact of the Ukraine War on Russian–North Korean Relations

    Yong-Chool Ha, Beom-Shik Shin•Asian Survey•2022

  • Southeast Asia and China

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    Ramon Pacheco Pardo, Rei Koga et al.•Asian Survey•2025

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  • The Security Dilemma in Alliance Politics

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  • Reassessing Hedging

    Darren J Lim, Zack Cooper•Security Studies•2015

  • System Structure and State Strategy

    Brock F Tessman•Security Studies•2012

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  • President Moon Jae-in at Midterm

    Open Access•Sung Deuk Hahm, Uk Heo•Journal of Asian and African…•2020

Unique citing works2
Citations per year2
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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