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Integration in crisis

Towards a New Explicative Model

Bibliographic Data

ID6416423
AuthorsAndrey A Baykov, Anne Crowley‐vigneau (0000-0001-7466-2451), Anne Crowley-Vigneau, Nikita Ya Neklyudov, Zhang Ting-Hao, Zhang Tinghao
Year2025
Volume17
Issue2
Pages4-29
Publication date2025-01-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueBaltic Region (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2310-0524 • E-ISSN: 2079-8555
PublisherImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal University (PUBLISHER • RU)
DOI10.5922/2079-8555-2025-2-1
OpenAlexW7105928885
LanguageEN
References cited31

The goal of this study is to investigate the non-linear impact of crises on integrative structures through theoretical, empirical, and comparative analysis of four cases. This paper proposes a novel explanatory model of how integrative structures respond to various crisis junctures. The authors test the hypothesis that it is not the nature or intensity of the crisis, but rather the maturity and depth of integrative groupings’ institutional arrangements — along with the actual balance of power between governance levels—that ultimately determine whether the organization consolidates further or begins to disintegrate. Based on a survey of 409 specifically selected experts on integration, the study reveals that strongly integrated unions tend to strengthen during crises but often experience disintegrative backlash once the crisis subsides. Conversely, weakly integrated unions tend to loosen their ties during crises but regain their capacity for cooperation shortly thereafter. This model is explored through four case studies that consider how the 2022 and ongoing Ukraine conflict affected the EU (with a special focus on the energy crisis), NATO, BRICS and a quasi-integrated network of world-class universities. The findings show that policy responses to crises should be specifically calibrated to the integration model that the organisation follows

Backlash · Balance (ability · Corporate governance · Explanatory power · Focus (optics · Maturity (psychological · Power (physics · Elite Sociology and Global Capitalism · European Union Policy and Governance · International Relations and Foreign Policy

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