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Theory‐Refuting Findings in Psychology

How Much Should They Matter

Bibliographic Data

ID6431973
AuthorsDavid Trafimow (0000-0002-0788-8044, Department of Psychology New Mexico State University Las Cruces New Mexico USA, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume55
Issue1
Publication date2025-01-28
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal for the Theory of Social Behaviour (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0021-8308 • E-ISSN: 1468-5914
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/jtsb.70000
OpenAlexW4406891173
LanguageEN
References cited33

To a naïve falsificationist, one theory‐refuting finding falsifies a theory. In contrast, sophisticated science philosophers have emphasised larger research systems that include theories and auxiliary assumptions. Theory‐refuting findings can be accommodated by blaming poor auxiliary assumptions, refining theories, improving auxiliary assumptions, or pronouncing that the benefits of the research system render theory‐refuting findings unimportant. Popper, Kuhn, Lakatos, and Laudan have proposed research systems, with many disagreements between them. The present thesis is that each proposal is subject to two caveats. None of these philosophers sufficiently considered the opportunity costs associated with ignoring theory‐refuting findings. Secondly, it is not clear that previous pronouncements about how research systems work in the hard sciences necessarily apply well to modern psychological science. The interaction of these issues suggests that theory‐refuting findings may have more potential for mattering in modern psychology than would seem apparent from sophisticated research system perspectives

Cognitive psychology · Economics · Epistemology · Positive economics · Behavioral Health and Interventions · Cultural Differences and Values · Philosophy · Psychology · Social and Intergroup Psychology

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Highly citedNo

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