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An Analysis of the Conditional Effects of Legislative Term Limits on State Incarceration Rates

Bibliographic Data

ID6437715
AuthorsJason S Byers (0000-0002-0922-5949), Laine P Shay (0000-0002-3480-6729)
Year2025
Volume37
Issue1
Pages71-89
Publication date2025-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Policy History (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0898-0306 • E-ISSN: 1528-4190
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0898030624000058
OpenAlexW4406846718
LanguageEN

A vast body of work investigates the consequences of legislative term limits for public policy. However, considerably less research has delved into their effects in noneconomic policy domains. In this article, we develop the argument that implemented term limits increase the effect that a state government’s ideology has on the state’s incarceration rate. When analyzing incarceration rates among all states between 1979 and 2017, we find evidence to support our theoretical expectation. Specifically, for states with term limits, we find that an increase in state government conservatism is associated with a higher incarceration rate. Conversely, for non-term-limited states, we find that the policy preferences of the state government have little influence on the incarceration rate. These findings deepen our insight into how institutional design can affect public policy

Economics · Legislature · Physics · Political science · State (computer science · Term (time · Computer Science · Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis · Law · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Legal and Constitutional Studies

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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