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Terror, Output, and Institutions in Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID6445408
AuthorsC O Iheonu (African Institute of Science and Technology, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume53
Issue5
Publication date2025-09-13
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePolitics & Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1555-5623 • E-ISSN: 1747-1346
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/polp.70067
OpenAlexW7081987907
LanguageEN
References cited53

This study examined the role of institutional quality in mitigating the negative effect of terrorism on real output in sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA). The study employed data from 42 SSA countries between 2001 and 2020 and used the two‐step system generalized method of moments (GMM) as an estimation strategy to account for endogeneity bias. Two indicators of terrorism, which include the number of terrorist attacks and the number of deaths from terrorism, are used as a proxy for terrorism, and six indicators, which include the control of corruption, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, voice/accountability, and the polity score, are used to proxy institutional quality. The study finds evidence of the negative influence terrorism has on real output in the region. Additionally, the findings show that improving the quality of institutions in Africa significantly improves real output in the region. However, the study does not find that improving institutional quality can mitigate the negative effect of terrorism on output in the region. These findings suggest that while strong institutions are vital for economic progress, their ability to counter the negative impact of terrorism is limited if deep‐rooted security challenges in the region are not addressed. I provide policy recommendations based on these findings. Related Articles Antwi‐Boateng, Osman. 2015. “No Spring in Africa: How Sub‐Saharan Africa Has Avoided the Arab Spring Phenomenon.” Politics & Policy 43(5): 754–84. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12129 . Iheonu, Chimere O., Princewill U. Okwoche, and Shedrach A. Agbutun. 2024. “The Impact of Democracy on Peace in Africa: Empirical Evidence.” Politics & Policy 52(5): 1038–1058. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12632 . Antwi‐Boateng, Osman. 2017. “The Rise of Pan‐Islamic Terrorism in Africa: A Global Security Challenge.” Politics & Policy 45(2): 253–284. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12195

Democracy · Endogeneity · Government (linguistics · Polity · Proxy (statistics · Quality (philosophy · Terrorism · Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping · Geological and Geophysical Studies · Geological Modeling and Analysis

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