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Desertification, crop yield and economic development

A Disaggregated Analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID6448398
AuthorsMaurizio Malpede (0000-0002-1033-8465), Marco Percoco (0000-0001-5059-8352)
Year2025
Volume12
Issue1
Pages411-432
Publication date2025-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueRegional Studies Regional Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2168-1376 • E-ISSN: 2168-1376
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/21681376.2025.2489518
OpenAlexW4410007975
LanguageEN
References cited31

This study uses a global grid-level dataset, integrating gross domestic product (GDP) per capita with crop yield and climate variables to examine the economic impact of climate-induced desertification. We use the aridity index (AI) to measure desertification and find that annual variations of soil aridity have a more significant economic impact than precipitation and temperature when taken alone, with Africa experiencing the most significant effect. We identify the reduced agricultural yield as a potential channel behind the desertification-economic growth nexus. Finally, projections suggest that by 2040, desertification could reduce GDP per capita in sub-Saharan Africa by up to 10%. These findings underscore the need for policies to mitigate the economic impacts of climate-induced desertification in vulnerable regions, contributing to the broader understanding of how climatic conditions affect economic development

Agricultural economics · Agroforestry · Agronomy · Biology · Crop · Crop yield · Desertification · Economics · Yield (engineering · Agricultural risk and resilience · Environmental Science · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy · Transboundary Water Resource Management · Ecology

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Highly citedNo

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