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Financial stability in G-20 economies

Asymmetric effects of institutional quality, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price shocks

Bibliographic Data

ID6454835
AuthorsFaroque Ahmed (0000-0002-8434-1536), Kazi Sohag (0000-0002-0976-2357), Oleg Mariev (0000-0002-9745-8434), Monirul Islam (0000-0003-0045-3897), Md Monirul Islam (0000-0001-5875-433X)
Year2025
Volume10
Pages100962-100962
Publication date2025-07-04
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSustainable Futures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2666-1888
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100962
OpenAlexW4412027182
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited104

After the global financial crisis, the tricky interconnectedness among the global financial markets become apparent. We investigate the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), and distinct oil price shocks on the financial stress (FSI) of G-20 to see how financial instability dynamically reacts to these external risks and whether the Institutional Quality (InQ) has any moderating impact on the financial stress of G-20 in presence of these risks. Utilizing a monthly panel dataset from January 2000 to December 2023, we apply the Methods of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR) and Dynamic Common Correlated Effects Mean Group (DCCEMG) approaches to obtain reliable and robust estimates. Our findings indicate that EPU, volatility in oil price (OVX), oil price demand and risk shocks intensify financial stress, while an increase in oil supply and improved institutional quality alleviate financial stress of G-20. More importantly, we identify that InQ can moderate the impact of EPU on financial stress in G-20 countries. This occurs through mechanisms such as increased policy credibility, regulatory transparency, and institutional checks that reduce market overreaction to uncertain policy environments. While EPU can also moderate oil price shocks impact on FSI of G-20. Notably, countries like China, Japan, and South Korea appear to be resilient to EPU, whereas Germany, Italy and Turkiye are found to be most exposed to oil price demand and risk shocks. This study carries significant policy implications for both market participants and policymakers of G-20

Economic stability · Economics · Financial stability · Financial system · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Oil price · Stability (learning theory · Energy, Environment, Economic Growth · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance

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Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Highly citedNo

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