Cities economies in a warming world
An in-depth study of long-run and short-run climate change impact in China
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6455411 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Yu Song (0000-0002-9525-2870), Na Huang (0000-0001-6522-0221), Kang Jiang (0009-0002-5037-074X), Xiaohong Chen (0000-0003-0809-5297), Riping Gao, Jingyu Men, Pengshuai Bi, Zhihua Pan (0000-0002-8187-1574) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 9 |
| Pages | 100552-100552 |
| Publication date | 2025-03-20 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Sustainable Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2666-1888 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100552 |
| OpenAlex | W4408649643 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 31 |
Understanding the economic impacts of climate change is crucial for shaping effective policy responses. This study examines the relationship between historical temperature fluctuations and economic growth in Chinese cities from 1999 to 2018. Using a stylized growth model and panel data analysis, we assess both short-term and long-term effects of temperature variations on overall economic output and sector-specific performance across agriculture, manufacturing, and services. Our findings reveal a non-linear temperature-economic growth relationship, with significant short-run disruptions and long-lasting sectoral impacts. While the agricultural sector benefits from moderate warming, manufacturing and services experience adverse effects over time. Moreover, low-income cities and those with specific industry structures exhibit heightened vulnerability to climate fluctuations. Projections suggest potential annual economic impacts ranging from −0.4 % to 0.2 % on per capita income growth, with cumulative effects leading to a −1 % to 15 % change in per capita GDP by the end of the century. These results underscore the necessity for targeted adaptive strategies and low-emission economic pathways to mitigate climate-induced economic risks
Archaeology · China · Climate change · Climatology · Economics · Economy · Geography · Global warming · Natural resource economics · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Geology · Oceanography
Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change
Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth
Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America
Temperature and the Allocation of Time
Geography and macroeconomics
Social and economic impacts of climate
Provincial and gridded population projection for China under shared socioeconomic pathways from 2010 to 2100
Temperature effects on productivity and factor reallocation
Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change
Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation
The impact of climate conditions on economic production. Evidence from a global panel of regions
The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production
Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reduction through Technological Innovation
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications
The Economic Effects of Climate Change
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |