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The Bias‐and‐Expertise Model

A Bayesian Network Model of Political Source Characteristics

Datos Bibliográficos

ID7150256
AutoresDavid J Young (0000-0002-2707-8284, Department of Psychology University of Cambridge, autor de correspondencia), Lee De‐wit (0000-0003-3048-2875), Lee H De‐wit (Department of Psychology University of Cambridge)
Año2025
Volumen49
Número11
Páginase70141-e70141
Fecha de publicación2025-11-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaCognitive Science (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0364-0213 • E-ISSN: 1551-6709
EditorialWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/cogs.70141
PMID41261846
OpenAlexW4416387854
IdiomaEN
Referencias citadas62

Perceptions of source credibility may play a role in major societal challenges like political polarization and the spread of misinformation as citizens disagree over which sources of political information are credible and sometimes trust untrustworthy sources. Cognitive scientists have developed Bayesian Network models of how people integrate perceptions of source credibility when learning from information provided by sources, but these models do not involve the crucial source characteristic in politics: bias. Biased sources make claims that align with a particular political agenda, whether or not they are true. We present a novel Bayesian Network model which integrates perceptions of a source's bias as well as their expertise. We demonstrate the model's validity for predicting how people will update beliefs and perceptions of bias and expertise in response to testimony across two studies, the second being a preregistered conceptual replication and extension of the first

Bayesian network · Bayesian probability · Confirmation bias · Credibility · Misinformation · Perception · Politics · Source credibility · Computational and Text Analysis Methods · Educational Strategies and Epistemologies · Misinformation and Its Impacts

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