Impact of Extreme Rainfall Days on the Welfare of Households in the Formal and Informal Sectors
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 7170996 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Majah-Leah V Ravago (0000-0001-8031-9502, Ateneo de Manila University, corresponding author), Gerald Gracius Y Pascua (0000-0002-4343-0671, Ateneo de Manila University), Loubill Dayne Aceron (Ateneo de Manila University), Emilio Gozo (0000-0001-6882-6536, Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University campus), Faye Cruz (0000-0003-4074-3477, Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University campus), Gemma Narisma (0000-0002-1014-9023, Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University campus) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 61 |
| Issue | 9 |
| Pages | 1422-1442 |
| Publication date | 2025-09-02 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Journal of Development Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0388 • E-ISSN: 1743-9140 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/00220388.2025.2474978 |
| OpenAlex | W4408787204 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 56 |
We differentiate the impact of extreme weather shocks on the welfare of the formal and informal sectors by utilizing nationally representative household survey data from the Philippines. We deviated from the typical measure of extreme tails of normalized rainfall values using normal distribution and instead used a novel measure of extreme rainfall from satellite-derived data. We estimate the vulnerability of households using an endogenous switching regression model to account for the heterogeneity in the decision to be in either sector. We find evidence that households’ welfare is adversely affected by extreme rainfall days, but the negative impact is bigger on the welfare of the formal sector. Households in the formal sector have higher incomes and thus have more to lose. However, the adverse impact on informal households may be irreversible given their weak capability to recover and their limited ability to smooth out consumption even during years considered normal. The negative effects of experiencing extreme rainfall three years ago linger. Thus, vulnerable households in the formal sector can potentially slide down to poverty, and those in the informal sector go deeper into poverty when hit by extreme weather events
Business · Economics · Labour economics · Market economy · Natural resource economics · Welfare · Agricultural risk and resilience · Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis · Income, Poverty, and Inequality
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| Unique citing works | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2026 (2) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 2 |