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Educational expansion, occupational upgrading, and the changing structure of education-occupation linkages in Sweden, 1960–2013

Bibliographic Data

ID7203203
AuthorsXiaojie Xu (0000-0002-4452-1540, Stockholm University, corresponding author)
Year2026
Volume102
Pages101135-101135
Publication date2026-02-04
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueResearch in Social Stratification and Mobility (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0276-5624 • E-ISSN: 1878-5654
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.rssm.2026.101135
OpenAlexW7127437752
LanguageEN
References cited65

Comparative research has shown that education-occupation linkages tend to be weaker in school-based vocational education and training (VET) systems that emphasize general rather than occupation-specific skills, as in the case of Sweden. However, how these linkages have evolved within national skill formation systems remains largely unexplored. Using Swedish register data from 1960 to 2013, this study documents a sharp rise in the overall strength of education-occupation linkage, peaking around 1990, followed by a general decline. The rapid expansion of upper tertiary education and occupational upgrading shifted the educational and occupational composition toward more tightly linked categories. Yet these compositional gains were largely offset by weakening structural linkages at the upper secondary vocational and lower tertiary levels, where ties to specific occupations eroded considerably. In contrast, despite substantial educational expansion, the decline in structural linkage at the upper tertiary level was relatively modest and later showed signs of rebound. These general trends hold across genders, with women benefiting more from occupational upgrading and showing stronger and more stable overall linkage since 1990. Taken together, educational expansion and occupational upgrading appear relatively balanced and have jointly contributed to a closer alignment between the educational system and the occupational structure in Sweden.

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