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Regional convergence and structural change in US housing markets

Bibliographic Data

ID7366549
AuthorsWilliam Miles (0000-0002-7788-3011, corresponding author)
Year2019
Volume6
Issue1
Pages520-538
Publication date2019-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueRegional Studies Regional Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2168-1376 • E-ISSN: 2168-1376
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/21681376.2019.1677174
OpenAlexW2981707375
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited27

If house prices are convergent at the national level, monetary policy is easier to implement, and labour has an easier time achieving mobility across regions. Accordingly there have been several studies on home price convergence. Some of these previous papers have methodological problems. This paper examines home price convergence across the different regions of the United States using Pesaran’s pairwise approach. This method obviates some of the methodological issues that have plagued previous studies. It also tests with a method that allows for structural breaks in the relationships between regional markets. Overall, it is found that the US housing market is not convergent across regions. Some evidence is found that the high-priced regions of New England and the Pacific exhibit convergence. Analysis of structural change reveals that some of the increase in co-movement between these expensive markets, and the decrease in co-movement between these and other markets, accelerated in the early to mid-1980s. The early 1980s saw major changes in US housing. Financialization, in the form of a greater role for non-depository investors such as real estate investment trusts (REITs), a big take-off in securitization, falling interest rates and more capital from abroad led to greater commodification of housing in terms of movement away from housing’s role as shelter and towards the exchange value of homes. These changes made credit available from new sources. This greater credit, including from global sources, appears to have played a role in creating divergent prices in regions that likely have differing elasticities of housing supply

Capital market · Convergence (economics · Economic geography · Economics · Financial economics · Financialization · House price · International economics · Investment (military · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Monetary economics · Real estate · Real estate investment trust · Securitization · Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis · Housing Market and Economics · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,67
Citation span2023 - 2025 (3)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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