A differential equation model for predicting public opinions and behaviors from persuasive information

Application to the index of consumer sentiment

Bibliographic Data

ID7525734
AuthorsDavid P Fan (University of Minnesota, corresponding author), R Dennis Cook (0000-0002-3488-4743, University of Minnesota)
Year2003
Volume27
Issue1
Pages29-51
Publication date2003-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Mathematical Sociology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-250X • E-ISSN: 1545-5874
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00222500305886
OpenAlexW2065408609
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited15

This paper shows that ideodynamics is a differential equation model capable ofpredicting public opinions and behaviors from persuasive information. Statistics are also developed for the model. The methodology is applied to predict the time trend of public opinion about the economy as quantified by the Index of Consumer Sentiment compiled by the University of Michigan. The explanatory variables are derived from news coverage of the economy in positive and negative terms

Consumer behaviour · Consumer confidence index · Differential (mechanical device · Econometrics · Economics · Index (typography · Macroeconomics · Political science · Public opinion · Statistics · Structural equation modeling · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Engineering · Law · Mathematics · Media Influence and Politics · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Psychology · Social Psychology

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