Social contagion, adolescent sexual behavior, and pregnancy

A nonlinear dynamic Emosa model

Bibliographic Data

ID7528675
AuthorsJoseph L Rodgers (0000-0002-8615-6713, University of Oklahoma, corresponding author), D Rowe (0000-0001-5899-2653), David C Rowe, Maury A Buster, Maury Buster
Year1998
Volume34
Issue5
Pages1096-1113
Publication date1998-09-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueDevelopmental Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0012-1649 • E-ISSN: 1939-0599
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/0012-1649.34.5.1096
PMID9779754
OpenAlexW4231303850, W2016016106
LanguageEN
Citations received11
References cited33

Nonlinear dynamic modeling has useful developmental applications. The authors introduce this class of models and contrast them with traditional linear models. Epidemic models of the onset of social activities (EMOSA models) are a special case, motivated by J. L. Rodgers and D. C. Rowe's (1993) social contagion theory, which predict the spread of adolescent behaviors like smoking, drinking, delinquency, and sexuality. In this article, a biological outcome, pregnancy, is added to an earlier EMOSA sexuality model. Parameters quantify likelihood of pregnancy for girls of different sexuality statuses. Five different sexuality/pregnancy models compete to explain variance in national prevalence curves. One finding was that, in the context of the authors' simplified model, adolescent girls have an approximately constant probability of pregnancy across age and time since virginity

Adolescent development · Adolescent health · Context (archaeology · Developmental psychology · Human sexuality · Juvenile delinquency · Pregnancy · Sexual behavior · Sociology · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Medicine · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Psychology · Social Psychology · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

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