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Demand Index and Supply Index Based on Principal Component Analysis

Evidence From US Labor Market

Bibliographic Data

ID7579228
AuthorsHongyu Lin (0009-0004-0682-7305, Department of Economics Vanderbilt University Nashville Tennessee USA), Hong-Yu Lin (Vanderbilt University, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume85
Issue1
Pages163-179
Publication date2025-09-18
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Economics and Sociology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-9246 • E-ISSN: 1536-7150
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/ajes.70009
OpenAlexW4414331107
LanguageEN
References cited54

This study presents a new framework for analyzing how employment is influenced by both the demand and supply sides of the labor market. We employ principal component analysis (PCA) to synthesize the two sets of factors into a demand index and a supply index, thus creating a dual‐index model. Each side is represented by five proxies, which are supported and realized by utility and profit maximization theories. A logistic regression model applied to assess their impact on the employment of individuals. The results indicate that both supply and demand indices significantly affect individual employment, with heterogeneous effects across different subpopulations. The female group tends to be influenced by the demand index (a phenomenon most likely caused by workplace bias), while the male group tends to be influenced by the supply index, probably due to their own personal choices. In this way, the dual‐index approach overcomes the limitation of a single‐variable model focusing only on the causality of a single factor. It is also able to fully distinguish the influences of the demand and supply aspects on both the total population and specific subpopulations, making it suitable for providing group‐specific information to policymakers

Demand side · Index (typography) · Logistic regression · Population · Principal component analysis · Profit (economics) · Profit maximization · Supply and demand · Utility maximization · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Labor market dynamics and wage inequality

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